What markets are included in the Union Magdalena vs Envigado prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Union Magdalena vs Envigado prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Union Magdalena vs Envigado

Union Magdalena vs Envigado prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-10-17 23:30

Union Magdalena

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Envigado

Away

Prediction Summary

34%

29%

37%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Union Magdalena (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate58%

Envigado (Away)

Goals scored / match0.95

Goals conceded / match1.15

Over 2.5 rate15%

BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union Magdalena

WLLLW

Envigado

WDLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 45%

37% +1.5 30%

16% +2.5 15%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union Magdalena averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Envigado averages 0.95 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

34%

Draw

29%

Away Win

37%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Oct 2025 Union Magdalena 3 - 1 Envigado Home

Apr 2025 Union Magdalena(A) 1 - 2 Envigado Away

In the last 2 meetings, Union Magdalena won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Union Magdalena — unbeaten run (home)1

Union Magdalena — scoring streak (home)1

Envigado — winless run (away)0

Envigado — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union Magdalena Win (1)34%

Draw (X)29%

Envigado Win (2)37%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 45%

37% +1.5 30%

16% +2.5 15%

0% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 55%

63% -1.5 70%

84% -2.5 85%

100% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Union Magdalena vs Envigado — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union Magdalena — scored (home)1.16

Union Magdalena — conceded (home)1.37

Envigado — scored (away)0.95

Envigado — conceded (away)1.15

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (home)58%

Envigado — BTTS matches (away)35%

Combined (simple average)46.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%

Under 4.510%

Over 5.579%

Under 5.521%

Over 6.569%

Under 6.531%

Over 7.556%

Under 7.544%

Over 8.546%

Under 8.554%

Over 9.531%

Under 9.569%

Over 10.528%

Under 10.572%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union Magdalena (home)

Corners for3.8

Corners against3.6

Envigado (away)

Corners for2.8

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union Magdalena

3 14 12 11 10

Envigado

3 4 12 6 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.592%

Under 2.58%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)6.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Union Magdalena (home)

For3.1

Envigado (away)

For4.2

Shots per Game

Union Magdalena — total shots (home)14.1

Envigado — total shots (away)10.2

Shots on Target

Union Magdalena — on target (home)4.1

Envigado — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union Magdalena

Inside the box5.77

Outside the box5.72

Envigado

Inside the box5.23

Outside the box5.13

Player Shots Union Magdalena

R. Márquez

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Sarmiento

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target8%

R. Blanco

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

C. Iguaran

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

O. Aragon

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Envigado

D. Pabón

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target50%

D. Arcila

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target19%

E. López

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target8%

B. Garcés

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target8%

W. Hurtado

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Magdalena xG (home)1.16

Envigado xG (away)1.15

Average Possession

45.9% Possession 43.18%

Team Comparison Union Magdalena vs Envigado

75.59% Pass accuracy 74.7%

333 Passes per match 285.13

0 Goals prevented 0

13.13 Fouls committed 14.18

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.9

1.74 Offsides 1.74

13.23 Tackles per match 11.08

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union Magdalena vs Envigado prediction analysis

Review Union Magdalena vs Envigado with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights