What markets are included in the Union Magdalena vs Fortaleza FC prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Union Magdalena vs Fortaleza FC prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Union Magdalena vs Fortaleza FC

Union Magdalena vs Fortaleza FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera A 2025-11-14 00:00

Union Magdalena

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

43%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Fortaleza FC

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

28%

33%

Under 2.5

57%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Union Magdalena (Home)

Goals scored / match1.16

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate16%

BTTS rate58%

Fortaleza FC (Away)

Goals scored / match0.78

Goals conceded / match1.48

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate43%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union Magdalena

WLLLW

Fortaleza FC

LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 57%

37% +1.5 22%

16% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

58% BTTS 43%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union Magdalena averages 1.16 goals scored at home, while Fortaleza FC averages 0.78 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

28%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

43%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Nov 2025 Union Magdalena 2 - 0 Fortaleza FC Home

May 2025 Union Magdalena(A) 1 - 0 Fortaleza FC Home

In the last 2 meetings, Union Magdalena won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Union Magdalena — unbeaten run (home)1

Union Magdalena — scoring streak (home)1

Fortaleza FC — winless run (away)1

Fortaleza FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union Magdalena Win (1)39%

Draw (X)28%

Fortaleza FC Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 57%

37% +1.5 22%

16% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 43%

63% -1.5 78%

84% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Union Magdalena vs Fortaleza FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union Magdalena — scored (home)1.16

Union Magdalena — conceded (home)1.37

Fortaleza FC — scored (away)0.78

Fortaleza FC — conceded (away)1.48

Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Union Magdalena — BTTS matches (home)58%

Fortaleza FC — BTTS matches (away)43%

Combined (simple average)50.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.573%

Under 5.527%

Over 6.562%

Under 6.538%

Over 7.552%

Under 7.548%

Over 8.539%

Under 8.561%

Over 9.526%

Under 9.574%

Over 10.521%

Under 10.579%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union Magdalena (home)

Corners for3.8

Corners against3.6

Fortaleza FC (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union Magdalena

3 14 12 11 10

Fortaleza FC

6 11 11 12 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.596%

Under 1.54%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Union Magdalena (home)

For3.1

Fortaleza FC (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Union Magdalena — total shots (home)14.1

Fortaleza FC — total shots (away)12.2

Shots on Target

Union Magdalena — on target (home)4.1

Fortaleza FC — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union Magdalena

Inside the box5.77

Outside the box5.72

Fortaleza FC

Inside the box5.83

Outside the box6.5

Player Shots Union Magdalena

R. Márquez

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target63%

+1.5 On Target17%

J. Sarmiento

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target8%

R. Blanco

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

C. Iguaran

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

O. Aragon

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Fortaleza FC

K. Salazar

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target18%

S. Valencia

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target9%

C. Lucumi

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target17%

L. Sanchez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target17%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union Magdalena xG (home)1.16

Fortaleza FC xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

45.9% Possession 52.2%

Team Comparison Union Magdalena vs Fortaleza FC

75.59% Pass accuracy 80.26%

333 Passes per match 381.35

0 Goals prevented 0

13.13 Fouls committed 10.85

3.18 Goalkeeper saves 2.57

1.74 Offsides 1.89

13.23 Tackles per match 11.02

League average xG this season is 1.14 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union Magdalena vs Fortaleza FC prediction analysis

Review Union Magdalena vs Fortaleza FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights