What markets are included in the Union St. Gilloise vs Ajax prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Union St. Gilloise vs Ajax prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Ajax

Union St. Gilloise vs Ajax prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-02-13 17:45

Union St. Gilloise

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Ajax

Away

Prediction Summary

31%

28%

40%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Union St. Gilloise (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate60%

Ajax (Away)

Goals scored / match1.67

Goals conceded / match1.11

Over 2.5 rate33%

BTTS rate44%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union St. Gilloise

WLLWW

Ajax

LLLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 78%

40% +1.5 44%

0% +2.5 33%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 44%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union St. Gilloise averages 1 goals scored at home, while Ajax averages 1.67 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

31%

Draw

28%

Away Win

40%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 2

Feb 2025 Union St. Gilloise(A) 2 - 1 Ajax Home

Feb 2025 Union St. Gilloise 0 - 2 Ajax Away

In the last 2 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)0

Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)0

Ajax — winless run (away)1

Ajax — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union St. Gilloise Win (1)31%

Draw (X)28%

Ajax Win (2)40%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 78%

40% +1.5 44%

0% +2.5 33%

0% +3.5 11%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 22%

60% -1.5 56%

100% -2.5 67%

100% -3.5 89%

100% -4.5 100%

Union St. Gilloise vs Ajax — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)1

Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)1

Ajax — scored (away)1.67

Ajax — conceded (away)1.11

Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)60%

Ajax — BTTS matches (away)44%

Combined (simple average)52%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.574%

Under 4.526%

Over 5.568%

Under 5.532%

Over 6.552%

Under 6.548%

Over 7.552%

Under 7.548%

Over 8.547%

Under 8.553%

Over 9.531%

Under 9.569%

Over 10.516%

Under 10.584%

Expected total corners (blended average)6.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union St. Gilloise (home)

Corners for5.2

Corners against2.6

Ajax (away)

Corners for4.0

Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union St. Gilloise

11 3 7 10 13

Ajax

12 10 13 11 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%

Under 0.55%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.574%

Under 2.526%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5

Yellow Cards per Team

Union St. Gilloise (home)

For3.4

Ajax (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)15.6

Ajax — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)5.4

Ajax — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box12.3

Outside the box4.9

Ajax

Inside the box8.67

Outside the box3.83

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

F. Ivanović

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target30%

S. Boufal

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target40%

K. Machida

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target13%

N. Sadiki

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target20%

+1.5 On Target10%

R. Sykes

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Ajax

O. Edvardsen

Shots on Target/Game3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

B. Brobbey

Shots on Target/Game2.3

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

W. Weghorst

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target20%

K. Hlynsson

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

M. Godts

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.93

Ajax xG (away)1.72

Average Possession

50.4% Possession 50.92%

Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs Ajax

77.4% Pass accuracy 82.58%

443.5 Passes per match 484

0.38 Goals prevented 0.4

15.3 Fouls committed 13.46

2.7 Goalkeeper saves 3.31

2.3 Offsides 1.38

24 Tackles per match 19.25

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union St. Gilloise vs Ajax prediction analysis

Review Union St. Gilloise vs Ajax with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights