Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs AS Roma

Union St. Gilloise vs AS Roma prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-11-07 17:45
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
37%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
AS Roma
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
29%
2
27%
Under 2.5
63%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Union St. Gilloise (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate60%

AS Roma (Away)

Goals scored / match0.83
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union St. Gilloise
WLLWW
AS Roma
LWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 67%
40% +1.5 17%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 37%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union St. Gilloise averages 1 goals scored at home, while AS Roma averages 0.83 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
29%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 1

Nov 2024 Union St. Gilloise 1 - 1 AS Roma Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)0
Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)0
AS Roma — winless run (away)6
AS Roma — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union St. Gilloise Win (1)44%
Draw (X)29%
AS Roma Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 67%
40% +1.5 17%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 33%
60% -1.5 83%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Union St. Gilloise vs AS Roma — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)1
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)1
AS Roma — scored (away)0.83
AS Roma — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals2.17

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)60%
AS Roma — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.590%
Under 4.510%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.572%
Under 7.528%
Over 8.564%
Under 8.536%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union St. Gilloise (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against2.6

AS Roma (away)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union St. Gilloise
11 3 7 10 13
AS Roma
7 10 7 4 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Union St. Gilloise (home)

For3.4

AS Roma (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)15.6
AS Roma — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)5.4
AS Roma — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box12.3
Outside the box4.9

AS Roma

Inside the box10.58
Outside the box4.83

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

F. Ivanović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target30%
S. Boufal
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
K. Machida
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Sadiki
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots AS Roma

S. El Shaarawy
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target11%
Saud Abdulhamid
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
P. Dybala
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target27%
E. Ndicka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%
L. Pellegrini
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.93
AS Roma xG (away)1.65

Average Possession

50.4% Possession 54.75%

Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs AS Roma

77.4% Pass accuracy 84.92%
443.5 Passes per match 527
0.38 Goals prevented 0.05
15.3 Fouls committed 10
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 2.33
2.3 Offsides 2.92
24 Tackles per match 16.75

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union St. Gilloise vs AS Roma prediction analysis

Review Union St. Gilloise vs AS Roma with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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