Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2026-08-04 17:00
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
70%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-2
Bodo/Glimt
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
21%
2
51%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
68%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Union St. Gilloise (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match2.75
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate25%

Bodo/Glimt (Away)

Goals scored / match1.43
Goals conceded / match2.29
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate86%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union St. Gilloise
WLLWL
Bodo/Glimt
LWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 86%
25% +1.5 57%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
25% BTTS 86%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union St. Gilloise averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Bodo/Glimt averages 1.43 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
21%
Away Win
51%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
68%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Union St. Gilloise 0 - 0 Bodo/Glimt Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)1
Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)2
Bodo/Glimt — winless run (away)1
Bodo/Glimt — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union St. Gilloise Win (1)28%
Draw (X)21%
Bodo/Glimt Win (2)51%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 86%
25% +1.5 57%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 14%
75% -1.5 43%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)0.75
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)2.75
Bodo/Glimt — scored (away)1.43
Bodo/Glimt — conceded (away)2.29
Model expected combined goals3.61

Both Teams To Score

Yes68%
No32%

Rate per Team

Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)25%
Bodo/Glimt — BTTS matches (away)86%
Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.546%
Under 9.554%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union St. Gilloise (home)

Corners for3.0
Corners against4.5

Bodo/Glimt (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against10.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union St. Gilloise
10 9 5 5 6
Bodo/Glimt
13 6 17 9 20

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Union St. Gilloise (home)

For2.8

Bodo/Glimt (away)

For1.7

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.567%
Under 22.533%
Over 25.555%
Under 25.545%
Expected total shots28.02

Union St. Gilloise

Shots Over 9.586%
Shots Over 11.577%
Shots Over 13.565%
Expected shots16.81
On Target Over 3.579%
On Target Over 4.567%
On Target Over 5.555%
Expected on target6.33

Bodo/Glimt

Shots Over 9.559%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.529%
Expected shots11.22
On Target Over 3.559%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.530%
Expected on target4.41

Shots per Game

Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)12.0
Bodo/Glimt — total shots (away)9.0

Shots on Target

Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)5.5
Bodo/Glimt — on target (away)5.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box8.25
Outside the box3.63

Bodo/Glimt

Inside the box8.5
Outside the box2.86

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Boufal
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Khalaili
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Bodo/Glimt

K. Høgh
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target36%
D. Bassi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. Fet
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target17%
J. Hauge
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%
H. Evjen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.31
Bodo/Glimt xG (away)1.75

Average Possession

35% Possession 46.93%

Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt

77.75% Pass accuracy 81.14%
335 Passes per match 455.29
0.27 Goals prevented 0.2
12.13 Fouls committed 9.79
2.25 Goalkeeper saves 5.29
4 Offsides 1.23
24.88 Tackles per match 17.71

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt prediction analysis

Review Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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