Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2024-10-03 19:00
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Bodo/Glimt
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
26%
2
28%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS · No edge
50%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Union St. Gilloise (Home)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate60%

Bodo/Glimt (Away)

Goals scored / match1.13
Goals conceded / match1.88
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union St. Gilloise
WLLWW
Bodo/Glimt
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

60% +0.5 88%
40% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
60% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.

Union St. Gilloise averages 1 goals scored at home, while Bodo/Glimt averages 1.13 goals scored away.

Model Strength
54%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
26%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
50%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2024 Union St. Gilloise 0 - 0 Bodo/Glimt Draw

In the last 1 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 0, drew 1 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)0
Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)0
Bodo/Glimt — winless run (away)6
Bodo/Glimt — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union St. Gilloise Win (1)46%
Draw (X)26%
Bodo/Glimt Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

60% +0.5 88%
40% +1.5 25%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

40% -0.5 12%
60% -1.5 75%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)1
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)1
Bodo/Glimt — scored (away)1.13
Bodo/Glimt — conceded (away)1.88
Model expected combined goals2.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes50%
No50%

Rate per Team

Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)60%
Bodo/Glimt — BTTS matches (away)88%
Combined (simple average)74%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.578%
Under 4.522%
Over 5.578%
Under 5.522%
Over 6.562%
Under 6.538%
Over 7.562%
Under 7.538%
Over 8.562%
Under 8.538%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.542%
Under 10.558%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union St. Gilloise (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against2.6

Bodo/Glimt (away)

Corners for2.1
Corners against7.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union St. Gilloise
11 3 7 10 13
Bodo/Glimt
11 5 18 14 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.590%
Under 2.510%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Union St. Gilloise (home)

For3.4

Bodo/Glimt (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)15.6
Bodo/Glimt — total shots (away)8.8

Shots on Target

Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)5.4
Bodo/Glimt — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box12.3
Outside the box4.9

Bodo/Glimt

Inside the box8.38
Outside the box3

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

F. Ivanović
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target30%
S. Boufal
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target40%
K. Machida
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
N. Sadiki
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target10%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Bodo/Glimt

A. Helmersen
Shots on Target/Game3
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target8%
U. Saltnes
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target27%
V. Nielsen
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
I. Määttä
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target7%
K. Høgh
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.93
Bodo/Glimt xG (away)1.47

Average Possession

50.4% Possession 52.81%

Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt

77.4% Pass accuracy 83.56%
443.5 Passes per match 521.13
0.38 Goals prevented 0.16
15.3 Fouls committed 9.06
2.7 Goalkeeper saves 4.06
2.3 Offsides 1.81
24 Tackles per match 20.38

League average xG this season is 1.47 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt prediction analysis

Review Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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