Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge

Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Jupiler Pro League 2025-11-22 15:00
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
41%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Cercle Brugge
Away

Prediction Summary

1
70%
X
21%
2
9%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS No
67%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Union St. Gilloise (Home)

Goals scored / match2.15
Goals conceded / match0.35
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate35%

Cercle Brugge (Away)

Goals scored / match1.5
Goals conceded / match1.28
Over 2.5 rate22%
BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union St. Gilloise
WDLWL
Cercle Brugge
LLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 78%
75% +1.5 39%
25% +2.5 22%
10% +3.5 11%
10% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 41%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union St. Gilloise averages 2.15 goals scored at home, while Cercle Brugge averages 1.5 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
70%
Draw
21%
Away Win
9%
Over 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
33%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Union St. Gilloise(A) 1 - 1 Cercle Brugge Draw
Nov 2025 Union St. Gilloise 2 - 0 Cercle Brugge Home
Dec 2024 Union St. Gilloise(A) 0 - 0 Cercle Brugge Draw
Oct 2024 Union St. Gilloise 1 - 3 Cercle Brugge Away
May 2024 Union St. Gilloise(A) 2 - 1 Cercle Brugge Home

In the last 5 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)20
Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)2
Cercle Brugge — winless run (away)1
Cercle Brugge — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union St. Gilloise Win (1)70%
Draw (X)21%
Cercle Brugge Win (2)9%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 78%
75% +1.5 39%
25% +2.5 22%
10% +3.5 11%
10% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 22%
25% -1.5 61%
75% -2.5 78%
90% -3.5 89%
90% -4.5 100%

Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)2.15
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)0.35
Cercle Brugge — scored (away)1.5
Cercle Brugge — conceded (away)1.28
Model expected combined goals2.33

Both Teams To Score

Yes33%
No67%

Rate per Team

Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)35%
Cercle Brugge — BTTS matches (away)56%
Combined (simple average)45.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.569%
Under 8.531%
Over 9.566%
Under 9.534%
Over 10.551%
Under 10.549%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union St. Gilloise (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against2.8

Cercle Brugge (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union St. Gilloise
10 6 16 13 5
Cercle Brugge
14 10 13 13 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Union St. Gilloise (home)

For1.8

Cercle Brugge (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)16.3
Cercle Brugge — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)6.2
Cercle Brugge — on target (away)4.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box10.98
Outside the box4.2

Cercle Brugge

Inside the box10.39
Outside the box3.92

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Biondic
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Cercle Brugge

O. Adewumi
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target16%
O. Diakité
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target12%
A. Minda
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ngoura
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Diop
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target36%
+1.5 On Target18%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.7
Cercle Brugge xG (away)1.66

Average Possession

52.1% Possession 47.67%

Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge

79.8% Pass accuracy 74.75%
431.95 Passes per match 367.03
0.07 Goals prevented 0.2
12.1 Fouls committed 10.64
1.85 Goalkeeper saves 3.36
2.53 Offsides 2.97
18.43 Tackles per match 19.03

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge prediction analysis

Review Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top