Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Gent

Union St. Gilloise vs Gent prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-12-06 17:15
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
57%
Confidence
High
Score
2-0
Gent
Away

Prediction Summary

1
76%
X
16%
2
8%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS No
57%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Union St. Gilloise (Home)

Goals scored / match2.15
Goals conceded / match0.35
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate35%

Gent (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.8
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union St. Gilloise
WDLWL
Gent
DLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 65%
75% +1.5 25%
25% +2.5 20%
10% +3.5 10%
10% +4.5 0%
35% BTTS 60%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 57%. Model confidence is High.

Union St. Gilloise averages 2.15 goals scored at home, while Gent averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
76%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
76%
Draw
16%
Away Win
8%
Over 2.5
57%
BTTS Yes
43%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Union St. Gilloise(A) 0 - 0 Gent Draw
Apr 2026 Union St. Gilloise 0 - 0 Gent Draw
Dec 2025 Union St. Gilloise 1 - 1 Gent Draw
Aug 2025 Union St. Gilloise(A) 3 - 2 Gent Home
May 2025 Union St. Gilloise 3 - 1 Gent Home

In the last 5 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)20
Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)2
Gent — winless run (away)5
Gent — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union St. Gilloise Win (1)76%
Draw (X)16%
Gent Win (2)8%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 65%
75% +1.5 25%
25% +2.5 20%
10% +3.5 10%
10% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 35%
25% -1.5 75%
75% -2.5 80%
90% -3.5 90%
90% -4.5 100%

Union St. Gilloise vs Gent — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)2.15
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)0.35
Gent — scored (away)1.2
Gent — conceded (away)1.8
Model expected combined goals2.99

Both Teams To Score

Yes43%
No57%

Rate per Team

Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)35%
Gent — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.578%
Under 7.522%
Over 8.570%
Under 8.530%
Over 9.565%
Under 9.535%
Over 10.545%
Under 10.555%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union St. Gilloise (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against2.8

Gent (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against6.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union St. Gilloise
10 6 16 13 5
Gent
6 6 13 13 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.570%
Under 2.530%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Union St. Gilloise (home)

For1.8

Gent (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)16.3
Gent — total shots (away)11.2

Shots on Target

Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)6.2
Gent — on target (away)4.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box10.98
Outside the box4.2

Gent

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box4.12

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Biondic
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Gent

W. Kanga
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target25%
M. Dean
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target22%
O. Gandelman
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target17%
B. Goore
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Ito
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.7
Gent xG (away)1.46

Average Possession

52.1% Possession 49.22%

Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs Gent

79.8% Pass accuracy 80.63%
431.95 Passes per match 428.1
0.07 Goals prevented -0.05
12.1 Fouls committed 10.17
1.85 Goalkeeper saves 3.59
2.53 Offsides 1.95
18.43 Tackles per match 14.2

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union St. Gilloise vs Gent prediction analysis

Review Union St. Gilloise vs Gent with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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