Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Inter

Union St. Gilloise vs Inter prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-10-21 19:00
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
63%
Confidence
High
Score
0-2
Inter
Away

Prediction Summary

1
12%
X
17%
2
71%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
53%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Union St. Gilloise (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75
Goals conceded / match2.75
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate25%

Inter (Away)

Goals scored / match2
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate40%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union St. Gilloise
WLLWL
Inter
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 100%
25% +1.5 60%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 0%
25% BTTS 40%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 63%. Model confidence is High.

Union St. Gilloise averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Inter averages 2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
12%
Draw
17%
Away Win
71%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Yes
53%

Head-to-Head last 1

Oct 2025 Union St. Gilloise 0 - 4 Inter Away

In the last 1 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)1
Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)2
Inter — winless run (away)1
Inter — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union St. Gilloise Win (1)12%
Draw (X)17%
Inter Win (2)71%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 100%
25% +1.5 60%
0% +2.5 20%
0% +3.5 20%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 0%
75% -1.5 40%
100% -2.5 80%
100% -3.5 80%
100% -4.5 100%

Union St. Gilloise vs Inter — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)0.75
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)2.75
Inter — scored (away)2
Inter — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals3.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%
No47%

Rate per Team

Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)25%
Inter — BTTS matches (away)40%
Combined (simple average)32.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.588%
Under 5.512%
Over 6.565%
Under 6.535%
Over 7.543%
Under 7.557%
Over 8.523%
Under 8.577%
Over 9.523%
Under 9.577%
Over 10.523%
Under 10.577%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.00

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union St. Gilloise (home)

Corners for3.0
Corners against4.5

Inter (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against4.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union St. Gilloise
10 9 5 5 6
Inter
9 11 8 6 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.558%
Under 2.542%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Union St. Gilloise (home)

For2.8

Inter (away)

For1.4

Shots per Game

Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)12.0
Inter — total shots (away)15.8

Shots on Target

Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)5.5
Inter — on target (away)5.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box8.25
Outside the box3.63

Inter

Inside the box13.8
Outside the box4.2

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Boufal
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target0%
A. Khalaili
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Inter

Lautaro Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target38%
F. Dimarco
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target44%
M. Thuram
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Frattesi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target14%
F. Esposito
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.31
Inter xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

35% Possession 57.3%

Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs Inter

77.75% Pass accuracy 86.8%
335 Passes per match 544.2
0.27 Goals prevented 0.44
12.13 Fouls committed 10.7
2.25 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
4 Offsides 1.78
24.88 Tackles per match 16.9

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union St. Gilloise vs Inter prediction analysis

Review Union St. Gilloise vs Inter with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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