Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo

Union St. Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Jupiler Pro League 2025-09-27 18:45
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
86%
Confidence
High
Score
3-1
KVC Westerlo
Away

Prediction Summary

1
76%
X
13%
2
11%
Over 2.5
86%
BTTS Yes
72%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Union St. Gilloise (Home)

Goals scored / match2.15
Goals conceded / match0.35
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate35%

KVC Westerlo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate10%
BTTS rate35%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union St. Gilloise
WDLWL
KVC Westerlo
LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 65%
75% +1.5 35%
25% +2.5 10%
10% +3.5 5%
10% +4.5 5%
35% BTTS 35%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 86%. Model confidence is High.

Union St. Gilloise averages 2.15 goals scored at home, while KVC Westerlo averages 1.2 goals scored away.

Model Strength
86%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
76%
Draw
13%
Away Win
11%
Over 2.5
86%
BTTS Yes
72%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Union St. Gilloise(A) 0 - 0 KVC Westerlo Draw
Sep 2025 Union St. Gilloise 2 - 0 KVC Westerlo Home
Dec 2024 Union St. Gilloise 3 - 1 KVC Westerlo Home
Aug 2024 Union St. Gilloise(A) 3 - 4 KVC Westerlo Away
Feb 2024 Union St. Gilloise 2 - 2 KVC Westerlo Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)20
Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)2
KVC Westerlo — winless run (away)1
KVC Westerlo — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Union St. Gilloise Win (1)76%
Draw (X)13%
KVC Westerlo Win (2)11%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 65%
75% +1.5 35%
25% +2.5 10%
10% +3.5 5%
10% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 35%
25% -1.5 65%
75% -2.5 90%
90% -3.5 95%
90% -4.5 95%

Union St. Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)2.15
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)0.35
KVC Westerlo — scored (away)1.2
KVC Westerlo — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals4.79

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%
No28%

Rate per Team

Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)35%
KVC Westerlo — BTTS matches (away)35%
Combined (simple average)35%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.593%
Under 5.57%
Over 6.580%
Under 6.520%
Over 7.575%
Under 7.525%
Over 8.568%
Under 8.532%
Over 9.563%
Under 9.537%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union St. Gilloise (home)

Corners for6.2
Corners against2.8

KVC Westerlo (away)

Corners for4.7
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union St. Gilloise
10 6 16 13 5
KVC Westerlo
7 9 13 7 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.580%
Under 2.520%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Union St. Gilloise (home)

For1.8

KVC Westerlo (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)16.3
KVC Westerlo — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)6.2
KVC Westerlo — on target (away)4.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box10.98
Outside the box4.2

KVC Westerlo

Inside the box9.75
Outside the box4.6

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Biondic
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots KVC Westerlo

Nacho Ferri
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
J. Alcócer
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target9%
M. Frigan
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
I. Sakamoto
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target8%
A. Sayyadmanesh
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target37%
+1.5 On Target10%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.7
KVC Westerlo xG (away)1.54

Average Possession

52.1% Possession 49.33%

Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo

79.8% Pass accuracy 79.2%
431.95 Passes per match 397.68
0.07 Goals prevented 0.03
12.1 Fouls committed 11.2
1.85 Goalkeeper saves 2.8
2.53 Offsides 1
18.43 Tackles per match 16.2

League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union St. Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo prediction analysis

Review Union St. Gilloise vs KVC Westerlo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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