What markets are included in the Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille

Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Champions League 2025-12-09 20:00

Union St. Gilloise

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

68%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Marseille

Away

Prediction Summary

29%

22%

49%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

67%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Union St. Gilloise (Home)

Goals scored / match0.75

Goals conceded / match2.75

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate25%

Marseille (Away)

Goals scored / match1.25

Goals conceded / match2.25

Over 2.5 rate25%

BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Union St. Gilloise

WLLWL

Marseille

LLWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 75%

25% +1.5 25%

0% +2.5 25%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

25% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 68%. Model confidence is Medium.

Union St. Gilloise averages 0.75 goals scored at home, while Marseille averages 1.25 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

29%

Draw

22%

Away Win

49%

Over 2.5

68%

BTTS Yes

67%

Head-to-Head last 1

Dec 2025 Union St. Gilloise 2 - 3 Marseille Away

In the last 1 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)1

Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)2

Marseille — winless run (away)1

Marseille — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Union St. Gilloise Win (1)29%

Draw (X)22%

Marseille Win (2)49%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 75%

25% +1.5 25%

0% +2.5 25%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 25%

75% -1.5 75%

100% -2.5 75%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)0.75

Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)2.75

Marseille — scored (away)1.25

Marseille — conceded (away)2.25

Model expected combined goals3.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes67%

No33%

Rate per Team

Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)25%

Marseille — BTTS matches (away)75%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.588%

Under 4.512%

Over 5.563%

Under 5.537%

Over 6.550%

Under 6.550%

Over 7.538%

Under 7.562%

Over 8.538%

Under 8.562%

Over 9.538%

Under 9.562%

Over 10.538%

Under 10.562%

Expected total corners (blended average)8.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Union St. Gilloise (home)

Corners for3.0

Corners against4.5

Marseille (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against4.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Union St. Gilloise

10 9 5 5 6

Marseille

9 16 5 11 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.588%

Under 2.512%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Union St. Gilloise (home)

For2.8

Marseille (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)12.0

Marseille — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)5.5

Marseille — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Union St. Gilloise

Inside the box8.25

Outside the box3.63

Marseille

Inside the box7.38

Outside the box6.38

Player Shots Union St. Gilloise

P. David

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target86%

+1.5 On Target29%

K. Rodríguez

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

S. Boufal

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target25%

R. Florucz

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

A. Khalaili

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Player Shots Marseille

M. Greenwood

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target100%

+1.5 On Target63%

P. Aubameyang

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target13%

Igor Paixão

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target38%

T. Weah

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target14%

G. Kondogbia

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.31

Marseille xG (away)1.08

Average Possession

35% Possession 55.38%

Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille

77.75% Pass accuracy 86.63%

335 Passes per match 527

0.27 Goals prevented -0.08

12.13 Fouls committed 13.25

2.25 Goalkeeper saves 4.5

4 Offsides 1.63

24.88 Tackles per match 14.63

League average xG this season is 1.65 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille prediction analysis

Review Union St. Gilloise vs Marseille with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Champions League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Champions League

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights