Prediction Analysis: Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem
Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Jupiler Pro League
2026-08-15
14:00
Union St. Gilloise
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Home Win
Pick
Union St. Gilloise
Probability
62%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Zulte Waregem
Away
Prediction Summary
1
62%
X
21%
2
17%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Union St. Gilloise (Home)
Goals scored / match2.15
Goals conceded / match0.35
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate35%
Zulte Waregem (Away)
Goals scored / match1.44
Goals conceded / match1.72
Over 2.5 rate17%
BTTS rate72%
Team Form last 5 matches
Union St. Gilloise
WDLWL
Zulte Waregem
WWWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
95%
+0.5
78%
75%
+1.5
50%
25%
+2.5
17%
10%
+3.5
0%
10%
+4.5
0%
35%
BTTS
72%
Model Insight
The selected market is Home Win with a probability of 62%. Model confidence is Medium.
Union St. Gilloise averages 2.15 goals scored at home, while Zulte Waregem averages 1.44 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
62%
Draw
21%
Away Win
17%
Over 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
Head-to-Head last 5
Dec 2025
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 0
Zulte Waregem
Home
Dec 2025
Union St. Gilloise
2 - 1
Zulte Waregem
Home
Nov 2025
Union St. Gilloise(A)
4 - 1
Zulte Waregem
Home
Feb 2023
Union St. Gilloise
4 - 0
Zulte Waregem
Home
Sep 2022
Union St. Gilloise(A)
3 - 1
Zulte Waregem
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 5, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Union St. Gilloise — unbeaten run (home)20
Union St. Gilloise — scoring streak (home)2
Zulte Waregem — winless run (away)0
Zulte Waregem — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Union St. Gilloise Win (1)62%
Draw (X)21%
Zulte Waregem Win (2)17%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
95%
+0.5
78%
75%
+1.5
50%
25%
+2.5
17%
10%
+3.5
0%
10%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
5%
-0.5
22%
25%
-1.5
50%
75%
-2.5
83%
90%
-3.5
100%
90%
-4.5
100%
Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Union St. Gilloise — scored (home)2.15
Union St. Gilloise — conceded (home)0.35
Zulte Waregem — scored (away)1.44
Zulte Waregem — conceded (away)1.72
Model expected combined goals2.83
Both Teams To Score
Yes51%
No49%
Rate per Team
Union St. Gilloise — BTTS matches (home)35%
Zulte Waregem — BTTS matches (away)72%
Combined (simple average)53.5%
Corners Line model prediction
Over 8.565%
Under 8.535%
Over 9.554%
Under 9.546%
Over 10.544%
Under 10.556%
Expected total corners (model prediction)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Union St. Gilloise (home)
Corners for6.2
Corners against2.8
Zulte Waregem (away)
Corners for4.7
Corners against4.9
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Union St. Gilloise
10
6
16
13
5
Zulte Waregem
8
8
11
13
11
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.576%
Under 2.524%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8
Yellow Cards per Team
Union St. Gilloise (home)
For1.8
Zulte Waregem (away)
For1.6
Shots Forecast model prediction
Match Total
Over 19.572%
Under 19.528%
Over 22.557%
Under 22.543%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.77
Union St. Gilloise
Shots Over 9.583%
Shots Over 11.570%
Shots Over 13.555%
Expected shots14.70
On Target Over 3.573%
On Target Over 4.558%
On Target Over 5.542%
Expected on target5.27
Zulte Waregem
Shots Over 9.552%
Shots Over 11.533%
Shots Over 13.519%
Expected shots10.07
On Target Over 3.542%
On Target Over 4.525%
On Target Over 5.514%
Expected on target3.32
Shots per Game
Union St. Gilloise — total shots (home)16.3
Zulte Waregem — total shots (away)11.3
Shots on Target
Union St. Gilloise — on target (home)6.2
Zulte Waregem — on target (away)3.9
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Union St. Gilloise
Inside the box10.98
Outside the box4.2
Zulte Waregem
Inside the box7.75
Outside the box4.89
Player Shots Union St. Gilloise
P. David
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target29%
M. Biondic
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target27%
K. Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target32%
R. Sykes
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target59%
+1.5 On Target16%
R. Florucz
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target54%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Zulte Waregem
A. Traoré
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Erenbjerg
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target20%
Joseph Okopu
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target16%
M. Aké
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target7%
A. Ementa
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Union St. Gilloise xG (home)1.7
Zulte Waregem xG (away)1.43
Average Possession
52.1%
Possession
48.33%
Team Comparison Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem
79.8%
Pass accuracy
78.83%
431.95
Passes per match
408.36
0.07
Goals prevented
0
12.1
Fouls committed
10.86
1.85
Goalkeeper saves
3.06
2.53
Offsides
1.48
18.43
Tackles per match
14.97
League average xG this season is 1.44 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem prediction analysis
Review Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Jupiler Pro League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Jupiler Pro League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights