What markets are included in the Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano

Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Primera División 2025-08-17 16:30

Universidad de Chile

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

59%

Confidence

High

Score

2-0

A. Italiano

Away

Prediction Summary

71%

18%

12%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS No

51%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Universidad de Chile (Home)

Goals scored / match2.67

Goals conceded / match0.93

Over 2.5 rate47%

BTTS rate60%

A. Italiano (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47

Goals conceded / match1.73

Over 2.5 rate20%

BTTS rate67%

Team Form last 5 matches

Universidad de Chile

WDWWW

A. Italiano

WWWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

93% +0.5 80%

67% +1.5 40%

47% +2.5 20%

33% +3.5 7%

20% +4.5 0%

60% BTTS 67%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is High.

Universidad de Chile averages 2.67 goals scored at home, while A. Italiano averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength

71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

71%

Draw

18%

Away Win

12%

Over 2.5

59%

BTTS Yes

49%

Head-to-Head last 2

Aug 2025 Universidad de Chile 1 - 3 A. Italiano Away

Mar 2025 Universidad de Chile(A) 1 - 1 A. Italiano Draw

In the last 2 meetings, Universidad de Chile won 0, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Universidad de Chile — unbeaten run (home)4

Universidad de Chile — scoring streak (home)6

A. Italiano — winless run (away)0

A. Italiano — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Universidad de Chile Win (1)71%

Draw (X)18%

A. Italiano Win (2)12%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

93% +0.5 80%

67% +1.5 40%

47% +2.5 20%

33% +3.5 7%

20% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

7% -0.5 20%

33% -1.5 60%

53% -2.5 80%

67% -3.5 93%

80% -4.5 100%

Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Universidad de Chile — scored (home)2.67

Universidad de Chile — conceded (home)0.93

A. Italiano — scored (away)1.47

A. Italiano — conceded (away)1.73

Model expected combined goals3.08

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%

No51%

Rate per Team

Universidad de Chile — BTTS matches (home)60%

A. Italiano — BTTS matches (away)67%

Combined (simple average)63.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.583%

Under 6.517%

Over 7.563%

Under 7.537%

Over 8.557%

Under 8.543%

Over 9.547%

Under 9.553%

Over 10.547%

Under 10.553%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Universidad de Chile (home)

Corners for6.7

Corners against3.2

A. Italiano (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against5.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Universidad de Chile

7 12 13 12 4

A. Italiano

8 19 13 5 16

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.590%

Under 2.510%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Universidad de Chile (home)

For2.1

A. Italiano (away)

For3.5

Shots per Game

Universidad de Chile — total shots (home)17.8

A. Italiano — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Universidad de Chile — on target (home)6.5

A. Italiano — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Universidad de Chile

Inside the box10.23

Outside the box6

A. Italiano

Inside the box6.93

Outside the box4.93

Player Shots Universidad de Chile

L. Fernández

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target35%

L. Di Yorio

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target70%

+1.5 On Target30%

N. Guerra

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target10%

R. Contreras

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target13%

L. Assadi

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target6%

Player Shots A. Italiano

L. Valencia

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target32%

E. Vargas

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target8%

Michael Fuentes

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target4%

L. Palacios

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Riveros

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Universidad de Chile xG (home)2.54

A. Italiano xG (away)1.5

Average Possession

58% Possession 43.13%

Team Comparison Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano

80.47% Pass accuracy 72.9%

432.17 Passes per match 303.87

0 Goals prevented 0

11.13 Fouls committed 10.47

2.73 Goalkeeper saves 3.8

1.37 Offsides 2

17.2 Tackles per match 15.55

League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano prediction analysis

Review Universidad de Chile vs A. Italiano with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Primera División

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights