Prediction Analysis: Universidad de Chile vs Palestino
Universidad de Chile vs Palestino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Primera División
2025-10-13
19:00
Universidad de Chile
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Palestino
Away
Prediction Summary
1
56%
X
23%
2
22%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Universidad de Chile (Home)
Goals scored / match2.67
Goals conceded / match0.93
Over 2.5 rate47%
BTTS rate60%
Palestino (Away)
Goals scored / match1.4
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate60%
Team Form last 5 matches
Universidad de Chile
WDWWW
Palestino
DWLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
93%
+0.5
80%
67%
+1.5
40%
47%
+2.5
20%
33%
+3.5
0%
20%
+4.5
0%
60%
BTTS
60%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.
Universidad de Chile averages 2.67 goals scored at home, while Palestino averages 1.4 goals scored away.
Model Strength
56%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
56%
Draw
23%
Away Win
22%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
Head-to-Head last 2
Oct 2025
Universidad de Chile
2 - 1
Palestino
Home
Apr 2025
Universidad de Chile(A)
3 - 2
Palestino
Home
In the last 2 meetings, Universidad de Chile won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.
Current Streaks
Universidad de Chile — unbeaten run (home)4
Universidad de Chile — scoring streak (home)6
Palestino — winless run (away)0
Palestino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Universidad de Chile Win (1)56%
Draw (X)23%
Palestino Win (2)22%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
93%
+0.5
80%
67%
+1.5
40%
47%
+2.5
20%
33%
+3.5
0%
20%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
7%
-0.5
20%
33%
-1.5
60%
53%
-2.5
80%
67%
-3.5
100%
80%
-4.5
100%
Universidad de Chile vs Palestino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Universidad de Chile — scored (home)2.67
Universidad de Chile — conceded (home)0.93
Palestino — scored (away)1.4
Palestino — conceded (away)1
Model expected combined goals2.94
Both Teams To Score
Yes56%
No44%
Rate per Team
Universidad de Chile — BTTS matches (home)60%
Palestino — BTTS matches (away)60%
Combined (simple average)60%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.597%
Under 4.53%
Over 5.587%
Under 5.513%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.560%
Under 7.540%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.550%
Under 10.550%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90
Per-Team Corners own matches
Universidad de Chile (home)
Corners for6.7
Corners against3.2
Palestino (away)
Corners for5.6
Corners against4.3
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Universidad de Chile
7
12
13
12
4
Palestino
7
12
14
12
13
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.593%
Under 2.57%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Universidad de Chile (home)
For2.1
Palestino (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
Universidad de Chile — total shots (home)17.8
Palestino — total shots (away)12.5
Shots on Target
Universidad de Chile — on target (home)6.5
Palestino — on target (away)4.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Universidad de Chile
Inside the box10.23
Outside the box6
Palestino
Inside the box7.37
Outside the box5.5
Player Shots Universidad de Chile
L. Fernández
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target35%
L. Di Yorio
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target30%
N. Guerra
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
R. Contreras
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
L. Assadi
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target6%
Player Shots Palestino
J. Marabel
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target21%
Joe Abrigo
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target10%
G. Tapia Paez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target10%
J. Arias
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target7%
B. Carrasco
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad de Chile xG (home)2.54
Palestino xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
58%
Possession
58.73%
Team Comparison Universidad de Chile vs Palestino
80.47%
Pass accuracy
80.2%
432.17
Passes per match
448.07
0
Goals prevented
0
11.13
Fouls committed
10.7
2.73
Goalkeeper saves
3.2
1.37
Offsides
1.71
17.2
Tackles per match
14.4
League average xG this season is 1.45 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Universidad de Chile vs Palestino prediction analysis
Review Universidad de Chile vs Palestino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Primera División.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Primera División
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights