What markets are included in the Uruguay vs Spain prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Uruguay vs Spain prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Uruguay vs Spain

Uruguay vs Spain prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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World Cup 2026-06-27 00:00

Uruguay

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

26%

Confidence

High

Score

0-1

Spain

Away

Prediction Summary

15%

30%

55%

+2.5 Goals

26%

BTTS

28%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Uruguay (Home)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.5

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate50%

Spain (Away)

Goals scored / match1.33

Goals conceded / match0

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate0%

Team Form last 5 matches

Uruguay

LDD

Spain

WWWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

50% +0.5 100%

50% +1.5 33%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 0%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 26%. Model confidence is High.

Uruguay averages 1 goals scored at home, while Spain averages 1.33 goals scored away.

Model Strength

74%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

15%

Draw

30%

Away Win

55%

Over 2.5

26%

BTTS Yes

28%

Head-to-Head last 1

Jun 2026 Uruguay 0 - 1 Spain Away

In the last 1 meetings, Uruguay won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Uruguay — unbeaten run (home)0

Uruguay — scoring streak (home)0

Spain — winless run (away)0

Spain — clean sheets (away, last 3)3 of 3

1X2 Probability model

Uruguay Win (1)15%

Draw (X)30%

Spain Win (2)55%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

50% +0.5 100%

50% +1.5 33%

0% +2.5 0%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

50% -0.5 0%

50% -1.5 67%

100% -2.5 100%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Uruguay vs Spain — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Uruguay — scored (home)1

Uruguay — conceded (home)1.5

Spain — scored (away)1.33

Spain — conceded (away)0

Model expected combined goals1.75

Both Teams To Score

Yes28%

No72%

Rate per Team

Uruguay — BTTS matches (home)50%

Spain — BTTS matches (away)0%

Combined (simple average)25%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.5100%

Under 5.50%

Over 6.5100%

Under 6.50%

Over 7.559%

Under 7.541%

Over 8.542%

Under 8.558%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.525%

Under 10.575%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Uruguay (home)

Corners forâ€”

Corners againstâ€”

Spain (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Uruguay

18 15 7

Spain

7 9 10 6 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.5100%

Under 1.50%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Uruguay (home)

Forâ€”

Spain (away)

For1.0

Shots per Game

Uruguay — total shots (home)â€”

Spain — total shots (away)10.0

Shots on Target

Uruguay — on target (home)â€”

Spain — on target (away)3.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Uruguay

Inside the box-

Outside the box-

Spain

Inside the box10.33

Outside the box6.67

Player Shots Uruguay

M. Araújo

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target33%

F. Viñas

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

F. Valverde

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target33%

N. de la Cruz

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

M. Ugarte

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Spain

Mikel Oyarzabal

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target86%

+1.5 On Target29%

Lamine Yamal

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target57%

Álex Baena

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Pedro Porro

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target0%

Mikel Merino

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target0%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Uruguay xG (home)-

Spain xG (away)2.02

Average Possession

-% Possession 64.14%

Team Comparison Uruguay vs Spain

0% Pass accuracy 91.4%

- Passes per match 640.17

- Goals prevented 0.19

- Fouls committed 11

- Goalkeeper saves 1.14

- Offsides 2.43

14.67 Tackles per match 15.71

League average xG this season is 1.27 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Uruguay vs Spain prediction analysis

Review Uruguay vs Spain with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from World Cup.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance World Cup

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights