What markets are included in the Utrecht vs Heerenveen prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Utrecht vs Heerenveen prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Utrecht vs Heerenveen

Utrecht vs Heerenveen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-09-28 12:30

Utrecht

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

64%

Confidence

Medium

Score

2-1

Heerenveen

Away

Prediction Summary

64%

19%

17%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Utrecht (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89

Goals conceded / match0.83

Over 2.5 rate28%

BTTS rate50%

Heerenveen (Away)

Goals scored / match1.44

Goals conceded / match1.78

Over 2.5 rate22%

BTTS rate56%

Team Form last 5 matches

Utrecht

DWWWW

Heerenveen

LDLWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 72%

61% +1.5 50%

28% +2.5 22%

17% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 56%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 64%. Model confidence is Medium.

Utrecht averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Heerenveen averages 1.44 goals scored away.

Model Strength

64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

64%

Draw

19%

Away Win

17%

Over 2.5

64%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2026 Utrecht 3 - 2 Heerenveen Home

Feb 2026 Utrecht(A) 1 - 1 Heerenveen Draw

Sep 2025 Utrecht 2 - 2 Heerenveen Draw

Mar 2025 Utrecht 2 - 0 Heerenveen Home

Aug 2024 Utrecht(A) 1 - 1 Heerenveen Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Utrecht won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Utrecht — unbeaten run (home)7

Utrecht — scoring streak (home)7

Heerenveen — winless run (away)2

Heerenveen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Utrecht Win (1)64%

Draw (X)19%

Heerenveen Win (2)17%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 72%

61% +1.5 50%

28% +2.5 22%

17% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 28%

39% -1.5 50%

72% -2.5 78%

83% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Utrecht vs Heerenveen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Utrecht — scored (home)1.89

Utrecht — conceded (home)0.83

Heerenveen — scored (away)1.44

Heerenveen — conceded (away)1.78

Model expected combined goals3.28

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Utrecht — BTTS matches (home)50%

Heerenveen — BTTS matches (away)56%

Combined (simple average)53%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.597%

Under 4.53%

Over 5.597%

Under 5.53%

Over 6.597%

Under 6.53%

Over 7.586%

Under 7.514%

Over 8.573%

Under 8.527%

Over 9.559%

Under 9.541%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Utrecht (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against4.6

Heerenveen (away)

Corners for5.2

Corners against5.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Utrecht

12 11 7 15 12

Heerenveen

7 12 10 16 15

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.578%

Under 1.522%

Over 2.559%

Under 2.541%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3

Yellow Cards per Team

Utrecht (home)

For1.1

Heerenveen (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Utrecht — total shots (home)17.3

Heerenveen — total shots (away)13.7

Shots on Target

Utrecht — on target (home)5.9

Heerenveen — on target (away)4.9

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Utrecht

Inside the box10.39

Outside the box4.89

Heerenveen

Inside the box9.89

Outside the box5

Player Shots Utrecht

Ángel Alarcón

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

V. Jensen

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Zechiël

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Y. Cathline

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Stepanov

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Heerenveen

J. Trenskow

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target35%

L. Nordås

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target35%

M. Rivera

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target27%

D. Vente

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target16%

R. Meerveld

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Utrecht xG (home)1.51

Heerenveen xG (away)1.71

Average Possession

46.53% Possession 51.2%

Team Comparison Utrecht vs Heerenveen

78.69% Pass accuracy 79.77%

398.92 Passes per match 443.94

-0.15 Goals prevented -0.23

10.86 Fouls committed 10.89

3.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.83

1.25 Offsides 1.26

16.39 Tackles per match 15.17

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Utrecht vs Heerenveen prediction analysis

Review Utrecht vs Heerenveen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights