Prediction Analysis: Utrecht vs Lyon
Utrecht vs Lyon prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Utrecht
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
46%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Lyon
Away
Prediction Summary
1
38%
X
27%
2
35%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Utrecht (Home)
Goals scored / match1.14
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate57%
Lyon (Away)
Goals scored / match1.8
Goals conceded / match0.6
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate20%
Team Form last 5 matches
Utrecht
LLLLD
Lyon
LDWWW
Goals Comparison rate per team
57%
+0.5
80%
29%
+1.5
20%
14%
+2.5
20%
14%
+3.5
20%
0%
+4.5
20%
57%
BTTS
20%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 46%. Model confidence is Low.
Utrecht averages 1.14 goals scored at home, while Lyon averages 1.8 goals scored away.
Model Strength
54%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
38%
Draw
27%
Away Win
35%
Over 2.5
46%
BTTS Yes
52%
Head-to-Head last 1
Sep 2025
Utrecht
0 - 1
Lyon
Away
In the last 1 meetings, Utrecht won 0, drew 0 and lost 1.
Current Streaks
Utrecht — unbeaten run (home)0
Utrecht — scoring streak (home)0
Lyon — winless run (away)1
Lyon — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Utrecht Win (1)38%
Draw (X)27%
Lyon Win (2)35%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
57%
+0.5
80%
29%
+1.5
20%
14%
+2.5
20%
14%
+3.5
20%
0%
+4.5
20%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
43%
-0.5
20%
71%
-1.5
80%
86%
-2.5
80%
86%
-3.5
80%
100%
-4.5
80%
Utrecht vs Lyon — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Utrecht — scored (home)1.14
Utrecht — conceded (home)1.14
Lyon — scored (away)1.8
Lyon — conceded (away)0.6
Model expected combined goals2.53
Both Teams To Score
Yes52%
No48%
Rate per Team
Utrecht — BTTS matches (home)57%
Lyon — BTTS matches (away)20%
Combined (simple average)38.5%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.576%
Under 4.524%
Over 5.569%
Under 5.531%
Over 6.559%
Under 6.541%
Over 7.549%
Under 7.551%
Over 8.539%
Under 8.561%
Over 9.515%
Under 9.585%
Over 10.515%
Under 10.585%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Utrecht (home)
Corners for3.8
Corners against5.4
Lyon (away)
Corners for4.8
Corners against1.8
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Utrecht
9
6
12
5
14
Lyon
8
6
5
7
7
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.4
Yellow Cards per Team
Utrecht (home)
For1.9
Lyon (away)
For2.8
Shots per Game
Utrecht — total shots (home)11.2
Lyon — total shots (away)14.6
Shots on Target
Utrecht — on target (home)3.2
Lyon — on target (away)5.0
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Utrecht
Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.88
Lyon
Inside the box9.5
Outside the box5.1
Player Shots Utrecht
Miguel Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Bozdoğan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. El Karouani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Blake
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Cathline
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%
Player Shots Lyon
C. Tolisso
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target86%
+1.5 On Target29%
Afonso Moreira
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target71%
+1.5 On Target43%
R. Himbert
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
T. Tessmann
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target56%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Fofana
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Utrecht xG (home)0.89
Lyon xG (away)1.88
Average Possession
44.6%
Possession
61.2%
Team Comparison Utrecht vs Lyon
79.25%
Pass accuracy
88.4%
384.38
Passes per match
588.6
-0.04
Goals prevented
0.12
12.1
Fouls committed
11.5
3.8
Goalkeeper saves
2.7
1.1
Offsides
2.1
16.25
Tackles per match
14.3
League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Utrecht vs Lyon prediction analysis
Review Utrecht vs Lyon with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights