What markets are included in the Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-11-02 15:45

Utrecht

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

75%

Confidence

High

Score

2-1

NEC Nijmegen

Away

Prediction Summary

54%

20%

27%

Over 2.5

75%

BTTS Yes

72%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Utrecht (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89

Goals conceded / match0.83

Over 2.5 rate28%

BTTS rate50%

NEC Nijmegen (Away)

Goals scored / match2.12

Goals conceded / match1.65

Over 2.5 rate35%

BTTS rate88%

Team Form last 5 matches

Utrecht

DWWWW

NEC Nijmegen

WLDDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 94%

61% +1.5 65%

28% +2.5 35%

17% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 0%

50% BTTS 88%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 75%. Model confidence is High.

Utrecht averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while NEC Nijmegen averages 2.12 goals scored away.

Model Strength

75%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

54%

Draw

20%

Away Win

27%

Over 2.5

75%

BTTS Yes

72%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2026 Utrecht(A) 3 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Home

Nov 2025 Utrecht 1 - 0 NEC Nijmegen Home

Mar 2025 Utrecht 0 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Away

Nov 2024 Utrecht(A) 2 - 1 NEC Nijmegen Home

Mar 2024 Utrecht 1 - 0 NEC Nijmegen Home

In the last 5 meetings, Utrecht won 4, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Utrecht — unbeaten run (home)7

Utrecht — scoring streak (home)7

NEC Nijmegen — winless run (away)2

NEC Nijmegen — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Utrecht Win (1)54%

Draw (X)20%

NEC Nijmegen Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 94%

61% +1.5 65%

28% +2.5 35%

17% +3.5 18%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 6%

39% -1.5 35%

72% -2.5 65%

83% -3.5 82%

100% -4.5 100%

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Utrecht — scored (home)1.89

Utrecht — conceded (home)0.83

NEC Nijmegen — scored (away)2.12

NEC Nijmegen — conceded (away)1.65

Model expected combined goals3.9

Both Teams To Score

Yes72%

No28%

Rate per Team

Utrecht — BTTS matches (home)50%

NEC Nijmegen — BTTS matches (away)88%

Combined (simple average)69%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%

Under 4.56%

Over 5.591%

Under 5.59%

Over 6.588%

Under 6.512%

Over 7.572%

Under 7.528%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.561%

Under 9.539%

Over 10.546%

Under 10.554%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Utrecht (home)

Corners for5.3

Corners against4.6

NEC Nijmegen (away)

Corners for5.5

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Utrecht

12 11 7 15 12

NEC Nijmegen

5 12 9 11 17

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%

Under 0.56%

Over 1.580%

Under 1.520%

Over 2.566%

Under 2.534%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Utrecht (home)

For1.1

NEC Nijmegen (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Utrecht — total shots (home)17.3

NEC Nijmegen — total shots (away)15.8

Shots on Target

Utrecht — on target (home)5.9

NEC Nijmegen — on target (away)6.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Utrecht

Inside the box10.39

Outside the box4.89

NEC Nijmegen

Inside the box10.65

Outside the box6.41

Player Shots Utrecht

Ángel Alarcón

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target36%

V. Jensen

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target88%

+1.5 On Target13%

G. Zechiël

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Y. Cathline

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target14%

A. Stepanov

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target53%

+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots NEC Nijmegen

T. Chery

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target42%

B. Linssen

Shots on Target/Game1

+0.5 On Target66%

+1.5 On Target28%

N. Lebreton

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target55%

+1.5 On Target18%

Koki Ogawa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target19%

B. Önal

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target14%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Utrecht xG (home)1.51

NEC Nijmegen xG (away)1.88

Average Possession

46.53% Possession 56.62%

Team Comparison Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen

78.69% Pass accuracy 78.74%

398.92 Passes per match 429.21

-0.15 Goals prevented -0.09

10.86 Fouls committed 11.91

3.47 Goalkeeper saves 3.41

1.25 Offsides 2.19

16.39 Tackles per match 15.44

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen prediction analysis

Review Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights