Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Utrecht vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Utrecht vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-07-31 18:00
Utrecht
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
61%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Sheriff Tiraspol
Away

Prediction Summary

1
60%
X
21%
2
19%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Utrecht (Home)

Goals scored / match1.14
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate57%

Sheriff Tiraspol (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match2.25
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate75%

Team Form last 5 matches

Utrecht
LLLLD
Sheriff Tiraspol
LLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

57% +0.5 75%
29% +1.5 25%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 75%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 61%. Model confidence is Medium.

Utrecht averages 1.14 goals scored at home, while Sheriff Tiraspol averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
60%
Draw
21%
Away Win
19%
Over 2.5
61%
BTTS Yes
57%

Head-to-Head last 2

Jul 2025 Utrecht 4 - 1 Sheriff Tiraspol Home
Jul 2025 Utrecht(A) 3 - 1 Sheriff Tiraspol Home

In the last 2 meetings, Utrecht won 2, drew 0 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Utrecht — unbeaten run (home)0
Utrecht — scoring streak (home)0
Sheriff Tiraspol — winless run (away)3
Sheriff Tiraspol — clean sheets (away, last 4)0 of 4

1X2 Probability model

Utrecht Win (1)60%
Draw (X)21%
Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

57% +0.5 75%
29% +1.5 25%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

43% -0.5 25%
71% -1.5 75%
86% -2.5 100%
86% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Utrecht vs Sheriff Tiraspol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Utrecht — scored (home)1.14
Utrecht — conceded (home)1.14
Sheriff Tiraspol — scored (away)1
Sheriff Tiraspol — conceded (away)2.25
Model expected combined goals3.14

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%
No43%

Rate per Team

Utrecht — BTTS matches (home)57%
Sheriff Tiraspol — BTTS matches (away)75%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.536%
Under 4.564%
Over 5.529%
Under 5.571%
Over 6.529%
Under 6.571%
Over 7.529%
Under 7.571%
Over 8.529%
Under 8.571%
Over 9.515%
Under 9.585%
Over 10.515%
Under 10.585%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Utrecht (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.4

Sheriff Tiraspol (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Utrecht
9 6 12 5 14
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 0 0 0 0

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.581%
Under 0.519%
Over 1.573%
Under 1.527%
Over 2.573%
Under 2.527%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Utrecht (home)

For1.9

Sheriff Tiraspol (away)

For2.0

Shots per Game

Utrecht — total shots (home)11.2
Sheriff Tiraspol — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Utrecht — on target (home)3.2
Sheriff Tiraspol — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Utrecht

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.88

Sheriff Tiraspol

Inside the box0
Outside the box0

Player Shots Utrecht

Miguel Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Bozdoğan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. El Karouani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Blake
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Cathline
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Sheriff Tiraspol

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Utrecht xG (home)0.89
Sheriff Tiraspol xG (away)0

Average Possession

44.6% Possession 0%

Team Comparison Utrecht vs Sheriff Tiraspol

79.25% Pass accuracy 0%
384.38 Passes per match 0
-0.04 Goals prevented 0
12.1 Fouls committed 0
3.8 Goalkeeper saves 0
1.1 Offsides 0
16.25 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Utrecht vs Sheriff Tiraspol prediction analysis

Review Utrecht vs Sheriff Tiraspol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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