Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Utrecht vs Twente

Utrecht vs Twente prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Eredivisie 2025-12-07 11:15
Utrecht
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Twente
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
23%
2
28%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Utrecht (Home)

Goals scored / match1.89
Goals conceded / match0.83
Over 2.5 rate28%
BTTS rate50%

Twente (Away)

Goals scored / match1.76
Goals conceded / match1.41
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate82%

Team Form last 5 matches

Utrecht
DWWWW
Twente
LWDDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

83% +0.5 88%
61% +1.5 53%
28% +2.5 18%
17% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%
50% BTTS 82%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Utrecht averages 1.89 goals scored at home, while Twente averages 1.76 goals scored away.

Model Strength
60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
23%
Away Win
28%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS Yes
60%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Utrecht(A) 2 - 0 Twente Home
Jan 2026 Utrecht 1 - 2 Twente Away
Dec 2025 Utrecht 1 - 1 Twente Draw
May 2025 Utrecht(A) 0 - 2 Twente Away
Sep 2024 Utrecht 2 - 1 Twente Home

In the last 5 meetings, Utrecht won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Utrecht — unbeaten run (home)7
Utrecht — scoring streak (home)7
Twente — winless run (away)2
Twente — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Utrecht Win (1)49%
Draw (X)23%
Twente Win (2)28%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

83% +0.5 88%
61% +1.5 53%
28% +2.5 18%
17% +3.5 12%
0% +4.5 6%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

17% -0.5 12%
39% -1.5 47%
72% -2.5 82%
83% -3.5 88%
100% -4.5 94%

Utrecht vs Twente — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Utrecht — scored (home)1.89
Utrecht — conceded (home)0.83
Twente — scored (away)1.76
Twente — conceded (away)1.41
Model expected combined goals3.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes60%
No40%

Rate per Team

Utrecht — BTTS matches (home)50%
Twente — BTTS matches (away)82%
Combined (simple average)66%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.594%
Under 4.56%
Over 5.591%
Under 5.59%
Over 6.583%
Under 6.517%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.552%
Under 9.548%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Utrecht (home)

Corners for5.3
Corners against4.6

Twente (away)

Corners for5.0
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Utrecht
12 11 7 15 12
Twente
8 12 7 11 20

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.594%
Under 0.56%
Over 1.577%
Under 1.523%
Over 2.557%
Under 2.543%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Utrecht (home)

For1.1

Twente (away)

For1.8

Shots per Game

Utrecht — total shots (home)17.3
Twente — total shots (away)16.6

Shots on Target

Utrecht — on target (home)5.9
Twente — on target (away)6.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Utrecht

Inside the box10.39
Outside the box4.89

Twente

Inside the box11.68
Outside the box6.12

Player Shots Utrecht

Ángel Alarcón
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target36%
V. Jensen
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target88%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Zechiël
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target19%
Y. Cathline
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Stepanov
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target13%

Player Shots Twente

K. Hlynsson
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target73%
+1.5 On Target24%
S. Lammers
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target28%
D. Rots
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
S. Ørjasæter
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target47%
+1.5 On Target13%
R. van Wolfswinkel
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target23%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Utrecht xG (home)1.51
Twente xG (away)1.93

Average Possession

46.53% Possession 54.12%

Team Comparison Utrecht vs Twente

78.69% Pass accuracy 80.29%
398.92 Passes per match 464.38
-0.15 Goals prevented 0.04
10.86 Fouls committed 10.68
3.47 Goalkeeper saves 2.41
1.25 Offsides 1
16.39 Tackles per match 17.18

League average xG this season is 1.54 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Utrecht vs Twente prediction analysis

Review Utrecht vs Twente with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Eredivisie.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Eredivisie
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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