Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Utrecht vs Zrinjski

Utrecht vs Zrinjski prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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UEFA Europa League 2025-08-28 18:00
Utrecht
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
29%
Confidence
High
Score
0-1
Zrinjski
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
32%
2
41%
Under 2.5
71%
BTTS No
63%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Utrecht (Home)

Goals scored / match1.14
Goals conceded / match1.14
Over 2.5 rate14%
BTTS rate57%

Zrinjski (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match0.5
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate50%

Team Form last 5 matches

Utrecht
LLLLD
Zrinjski
DLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

57% +0.5 50%
29% +1.5 50%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
57% BTTS 50%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 29%. Model confidence is High.

Utrecht averages 1.14 goals scored at home, while Zrinjski averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
71%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
32%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
37%

Head-to-Head last 4

Aug 2025 Utrecht 0 - 0 Zrinjski Draw
Aug 2025 Utrecht(A) 2 - 0 Zrinjski Home
Aug 2019 Utrecht(A) 1 - 2 Zrinjski Away
Jul 2019 Utrecht 1 - 1 Zrinjski Draw

In the last 4 meetings, Utrecht won 1, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Utrecht — unbeaten run (home)0
Utrecht — scoring streak (home)0
Zrinjski — winless run (away)1
Zrinjski — clean sheets (away, last 2)1 of 2

1X2 Probability model

Utrecht Win (1)28%
Draw (X)32%
Zrinjski Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

57% +0.5 50%
29% +1.5 50%
14% +2.5 0%
14% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

43% -0.5 50%
71% -1.5 50%
86% -2.5 100%
86% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Utrecht vs Zrinjski — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Utrecht — scored (home)1.14
Utrecht — conceded (home)1.14
Zrinjski — scored (away)1
Zrinjski — conceded (away)0.5
Model expected combined goals1.89

Both Teams To Score

Yes37%
No63%

Rate per Team

Utrecht — BTTS matches (home)57%
Zrinjski — BTTS matches (away)50%
Combined (simple average)53.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.561%
Under 4.539%
Over 5.554%
Under 5.546%
Over 6.554%
Under 6.546%
Over 7.554%
Under 7.546%
Over 8.554%
Under 8.546%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)6.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Utrecht (home)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.4

Zrinjski (away)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Utrecht
9 6 12 5 14
Zrinjski
0 0 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.593%
Under 0.57%
Over 1.586%
Under 1.514%
Over 2.586%
Under 2.514%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Utrecht (home)

For1.9

Zrinjski (away)

For—

Shots per Game

Utrecht — total shots (home)11.2
Zrinjski — total shots (away)—

Shots on Target

Utrecht — on target (home)3.2
Zrinjski — on target (away)—

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Utrecht

Inside the box5.88
Outside the box3.88

Zrinjski

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Player Shots Utrecht

Miguel Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target75%
+1.5 On Target25%
C. Bozdoğan
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target20%
S. El Karouani
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target13%
A. Blake
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
Y. Cathline
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots Zrinjski

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Utrecht xG (home)0.89
Zrinjski xG (away)-

Average Possession

44.6% Possession -%

Team Comparison Utrecht vs Zrinjski

79.25% Pass accuracy 0%
384.38 Passes per match -
-0.04 Goals prevented -
12.1 Fouls committed -
3.8 Goalkeeper saves -
1.1 Offsides -
16.25 Tackles per match -

League average xG this season is 1.39 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Utrecht vs Zrinjski prediction analysis

Review Utrecht vs Zrinjski with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from UEFA Europa League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance UEFA Europa League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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