What markets are included in the Valencia vs Sevilla prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Valencia vs Sevilla prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Valencia vs Sevilla

Valencia vs Sevilla prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-11 19:00

Valencia

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

52%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Sevilla

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

25%

34%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

56%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Valencia (Home)

Goals scored / match1.37

Goals conceded / match1.05

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate47%

Sevilla (Away)

Goals scored / match1.32

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Valencia

DLLWW

Sevilla

LLWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

79% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 42%

11% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

47% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Medium.

Valencia averages 1.37 goals scored at home, while Sevilla averages 1.32 goals scored away.

Model Strength

56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

25%

Away Win

34%

Over 2.5

52%

BTTS Yes

56%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Valencia(A) 2 - 0 Sevilla Home

Dec 2025 Valencia 1 - 1 Sevilla Draw

Apr 2025 Valencia 1 - 0 Sevilla Home

Jan 2025 Valencia(A) 1 - 1 Sevilla Draw

Feb 2024 Valencia 0 - 0 Sevilla Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Valencia won 2, drew 3 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Valencia — unbeaten run (home)0

Valencia — scoring streak (home)0

Sevilla — winless run (away)5

Sevilla — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Valencia Win (1)41%

Draw (X)25%

Sevilla Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

79% +0.5 74%

42% +1.5 42%

11% +2.5 11%

5% +3.5 5%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

21% -0.5 26%

58% -1.5 58%

89% -2.5 89%

95% -3.5 95%

100% -4.5 100%

Valencia vs Sevilla — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Valencia — scored (home)1.37

Valencia — conceded (home)1.05

Sevilla — scored (away)1.32

Sevilla — conceded (away)1.68

Model expected combined goals2.77

Both Teams To Score

Yes56%

No44%

Rate per Team

Valencia — BTTS matches (home)47%

Sevilla — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)52.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.584%

Under 6.516%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.542%

Under 9.558%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Valencia (home)

Corners for5.8

Corners against4.0

Sevilla (away)

Corners for4.5

Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Valencia

14 8 13 8 5

Sevilla

10 9 6 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Valencia (home)

For2.4

Sevilla (away)

For2.2

Shots per Game

Valencia — total shots (home)11.4

Sevilla — total shots (away)11.5

Shots on Target

Valencia — on target (home)4.1

Sevilla — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Valencia

Inside the box6.79

Outside the box3.37

Sevilla

Inside the box7.45

Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Valencia

Hugo Duro

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target19%

Sergi Canós

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target12%

+1.5 On Target6%

Javi Guerra

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target19%

+1.5 On Target8%

Dani Gómez

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target36%

+1.5 On Target7%

Pepelu

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target15%

+1.5 On Target3%

Player Shots Sevilla

A. Adams

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target25%

Jesús Navas

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target7%

+1.5 On Target7%

Kike Salas

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target6%

D. Lukebakio

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target68%

+1.5 On Target26%

Juanlu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Valencia xG (home)1.12

Sevilla xG (away)1.11

Average Possession

48.32% Possession 50.58%

Team Comparison Valencia vs Sevilla

80.08% Pass accuracy 81.82%

419.5 Passes per match 432.63

-0.03 Goals prevented -0.07

11.63 Fouls committed 13

2.61 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

1.89 Offsides 2.06

17 Tackles per match 17.03

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Valencia vs Sevilla prediction analysis

Review Valencia vs Sevilla with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights