What markets are included in the Valladolid vs Alaves prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Valladolid vs Alaves prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Valladolid vs Alaves

Valladolid vs Alaves prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

La Liga 2025-05-18 17:00

Valladolid

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

50%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Alaves

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

26%

45%

O/U 2.5 · No edge

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Valladolid (Home)

Goals scored / match0.58

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Alaves (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26

Goals conceded / match1.63

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Valladolid

LLLLL

Alaves

DWWLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 74%

5% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 50%. Model confidence is Low.

Valladolid averages 0.58 goals scored at home, while Alaves averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

26%

Away Win

45%

Over 2.5

50%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Valladolid 0 - 1 Alaves Away

Oct 2024 Valladolid(A) 3 - 2 Alaves Home

Jan 2023 Valladolid(A) 0 - 1 Alaves Away

Feb 2021 Valladolid(A) 0 - 1 Alaves Away

Oct 2020 Valladolid 0 - 2 Alaves Away

In the last 5 meetings, Valladolid won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Valladolid — unbeaten run (home)0

Valladolid — scoring streak (home)0

Alaves — winless run (away)0

Alaves — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Valladolid Win (1)30%

Draw (X)26%

Alaves Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 74%

5% +1.5 42%

0% +2.5 11%

0% +3.5 0%

0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 26%

95% -1.5 58%

100% -2.5 89%

100% -3.5 100%

100% -4.5 100%

Valladolid vs Alaves — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Valladolid — scored (home)0.58

Valladolid — conceded (home)1.68

Alaves — scored (away)1.26

Alaves — conceded (away)1.63

Model expected combined goals2.67

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Valladolid — BTTS matches (home)37%

Alaves — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.550%

Under 8.550%

Over 9.537%

Under 9.563%

Over 10.529%

Under 10.571%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Valladolid (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.5

Alaves (away)

Corners for3.8

Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Valladolid

12 15 10 14 7

Alaves

8 11 13 14 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.584%

Under 2.516%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Valladolid (home)

For2.7

Alaves (away)

For3.0

Shots per Game

Valladolid — total shots (home)9.6

Alaves — total shots (away)10.6

Shots on Target

Valladolid — on target (home)2.5

Alaves — on target (away)3.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66

Outside the box3.18

Alaves

Inside the box7.03

Outside the box3.61

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Chuky San José

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

S. Amallah

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mario Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target10%

Kike Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Alaves

Manu Sánchez

Shots on Target/Game2

+0.5 On Target3%

+1.5 On Target3%

Kike García

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target17%

Carlos Vicente

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target27%

+1.5 On Target8%

Toni Martínez

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target39%

+1.5 On Target11%

Carlos Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid xG (home)0.91

Alaves xG (away)1.16

Average Possession

42.63% Possession 45.26%

Team Comparison Valladolid vs Alaves

79.47% Pass accuracy 73.08%

364.5 Passes per match 341.03

-0.4 Goals prevented 0

12.05 Fouls committed 16.39

3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.29

1.76 Offsides 2.14

15.89 Tackles per match 19.21

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Valladolid vs Alaves prediction analysis

Review Valladolid vs Alaves with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights