Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Valladolid vs Athletic Club

Valladolid vs Athletic Club prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-11-10 17:30
Valladolid
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
36%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Athletic Club
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
29%
2
42%
Under 2.5
64%
BTTS No
58%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Valladolid (Home)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Athletic Club (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match0.84
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Valladolid
LLLLL
Athletic Club
LWWWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 74%
5% +1.5 37%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 36%. Model confidence is Medium.

Valladolid averages 0.58 goals scored at home, while Athletic Club averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
64%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
29%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS Yes
42%

Head-to-Head last 5

Feb 2025 Valladolid(A) 1 - 7 Athletic Club Away
Nov 2024 Valladolid 1 - 1 Athletic Club Draw
Mar 2023 Valladolid 1 - 3 Athletic Club Away
Nov 2022 Valladolid(A) 0 - 3 Athletic Club Away
Apr 2021 Valladolid(A) 2 - 2 Athletic Club Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Valladolid won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Valladolid — unbeaten run (home)0
Valladolid — scoring streak (home)0
Athletic Club — winless run (away)0
Athletic Club — clean sheets (away, last 5)4 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Valladolid Win (1)29%
Draw (X)29%
Athletic Club Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 74%
5% +1.5 37%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 26%
95% -1.5 63%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Valladolid vs Athletic Club — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Valladolid — scored (home)0.58
Valladolid — conceded (home)1.68
Athletic Club — scored (away)1.16
Athletic Club — conceded (away)0.84
Model expected combined goals2.13

Both Teams To Score

Yes42%
No58%

Rate per Team

Valladolid — BTTS matches (home)37%
Athletic Club — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.592%
Under 6.58%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Valladolid (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5

Athletic Club (away)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Valladolid
12 15 10 14 7
Athletic Club
10 11 7 8 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.4

Yellow Cards per Team

Valladolid (home)

For2.7

Athletic Club (away)

For1.6

Shots per Game

Valladolid — total shots (home)9.6
Athletic Club — total shots (away)11.1

Shots on Target

Valladolid — on target (home)2.5
Athletic Club — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66
Outside the box3.18

Athletic Club

Inside the box8.16
Outside the box4.16

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Chuky San José
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Amallah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mario Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Kike Pérez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Athletic Club

Ander Herrera
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
De Marcos
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target4%
+1.5 On Target4%
I. Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target20%
Mikel Vesga
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target8%
+1.5 On Target4%
Nico Williams
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target45%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid xG (home)0.91
Athletic Club xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

42.63% Possession 48.45%

Team Comparison Valladolid vs Athletic Club

79.47% Pass accuracy 80.39%
364.5 Passes per match 409.08
-0.4 Goals prevented 0.03
12.05 Fouls committed 12.68
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.24
1.76 Offsides 1.79
15.89 Tackles per match 15.11

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Valladolid vs Athletic Club prediction analysis

Review Valladolid vs Athletic Club with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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