What markets are included in the Valladolid vs Barcelona prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Valladolid vs Barcelona prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Valladolid vs Barcelona

Valladolid vs Barcelona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-03 19:00

Valladolid

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

60%

Confidence

Medium

Score

0-2

Barcelona

Away

Prediction Summary

13%

19%

68%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

52%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Valladolid (Home)

Goals scored / match0.58

Goals conceded / match1.68

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Barcelona (Away)

Goals scored / match2.63

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate42%

BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Valladolid

LLLLL

Barcelona

WLWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 95%

5% +1.5 84%

0% +2.5 42%

0% +3.5 32%

0% +4.5 11%

37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 60%. Model confidence is Medium.

Valladolid averages 0.58 goals scored at home, while Barcelona averages 2.63 goals scored away.

Model Strength

68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

13%

Draw

19%

Away Win

68%

Over 2.5

60%

BTTS Yes

52%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Valladolid 1 - 2 Barcelona Away

Aug 2024 Valladolid(A) 0 - 7 Barcelona Away

May 2023 Valladolid 3 - 1 Barcelona Home

Aug 2022 Valladolid(A) 0 - 4 Barcelona Away

Apr 2021 Valladolid(A) 0 - 1 Barcelona Away

In the last 5 meetings, Valladolid won 1, drew 0 and lost 4.

Current Streaks

Valladolid — unbeaten run (home)0

Valladolid — scoring streak (home)0

Barcelona — winless run (away)0

Barcelona — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Valladolid Win (1)13%

Draw (X)19%

Barcelona Win (2)68%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 95%

5% +1.5 84%

0% +2.5 42%

0% +3.5 32%

0% +4.5 11%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 5%

95% -1.5 16%

100% -2.5 58%

100% -3.5 68%

100% -4.5 89%

Valladolid vs Barcelona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Valladolid — scored (home)0.58

Valladolid — conceded (home)1.68

Barcelona — scored (away)2.63

Barcelona — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals3.09

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%

No48%

Rate per Team

Valladolid — BTTS matches (home)37%

Barcelona — BTTS matches (away)63%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.595%

Under 5.55%

Over 6.589%

Under 6.511%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.561%

Under 8.539%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.545%

Under 10.555%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Valladolid (home)

Corners for4.3

Corners against5.5

Barcelona (away)

Corners for5.4

Corners against4.9

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Valladolid

12 15 10 14 7

Barcelona

12 12 6 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.587%

Under 2.513%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Valladolid (home)

For2.7

Barcelona (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Valladolid — total shots (home)9.6

Barcelona — total shots (away)15.1

Shots on Target

Valladolid — on target (home)2.5

Barcelona — on target (away)5.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66

Outside the box3.18

Barcelona

Inside the box11.45

Outside the box6.37

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target32%

+1.5 On Target11%

Chuky San José

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target28%

+1.5 On Target11%

S. Amallah

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target25%

+1.5 On Target8%

Mario Martín

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target10%

Kike Pérez

Shots on Target/Game1.3

+0.5 On Target21%

+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Barcelona

Raphinha

Shots on Target/Game1.9

+0.5 On Target64%

+1.5 On Target25%

R. Lewandowski

Shots on Target/Game1.8

+0.5 On Target76%

+1.5 On Target44%

Lamine Yamal

Shots on Target/Game1.7

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target26%

J. Koundé

Shots on Target/Game1.5

+0.5 On Target13%

+1.5 On Target3%

Dani Olmo

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target16%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid xG (home)0.91

Barcelona xG (away)2.34

Average Possession

42.63% Possession 69.08%

Team Comparison Valladolid vs Barcelona

79.47% Pass accuracy 88.45%

364.5 Passes per match 632.84

-0.4 Goals prevented -0.04

12.05 Fouls committed 9.68

3.05 Goalkeeper saves 1.87

1.76 Offsides 1.76

15.89 Tackles per match 14.16

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Valladolid vs Barcelona prediction analysis

Review Valladolid vs Barcelona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights