Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Valladolid vs Getafe

Valladolid vs Getafe prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
La Liga 2025-04-06 16:30
Valladolid
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
32%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Getafe
Away

Prediction Summary

1
24%
X
30%
2
46%
Under 2.5
68%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Valladolid (Home)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Getafe (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.05
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Valladolid
LLLLL
Getafe
LWLLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 53%
5% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 32%. Model confidence is Medium.

Valladolid averages 0.58 goals scored at home, while Getafe averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
68%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
24%
Draw
30%
Away Win
46%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Valladolid 0 - 0 Getafe Draw
Apr 2025 Valladolid 0 - 4 Getafe Away
Nov 2024 Valladolid(A) 0 - 2 Getafe Away
Jun 2023 Valladolid 0 - 0 Getafe Draw
Oct 2022 Valladolid(A) 3 - 2 Getafe Home

In the last 5 meetings, Valladolid won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Valladolid — unbeaten run (home)0
Valladolid — scoring streak (home)0
Getafe — winless run (away)0
Getafe — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Valladolid Win (1)24%
Draw (X)30%
Getafe Win (2)46%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 53%
5% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 11%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 47%
95% -1.5 68%
100% -2.5 89%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Valladolid vs Getafe — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Valladolid — scored (home)0.58
Valladolid — conceded (home)1.68
Getafe — scored (away)1
Getafe — conceded (away)1.05
Model expected combined goals2

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Valladolid — BTTS matches (home)37%
Getafe — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.550%
Under 8.550%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Valladolid (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5

Getafe (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against4.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Valladolid
12 15 10 14 7
Getafe
10 8 7 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.598%
Under 1.52%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.2

Yellow Cards per Team

Valladolid (home)

For2.7

Getafe (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Valladolid — total shots (home)9.6
Getafe — total shots (away)10.7

Shots on Target

Valladolid — on target (home)2.5
Getafe — on target (away)3.3

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66
Outside the box3.18

Getafe

Inside the box6.76
Outside the box4.68

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Chuky San José
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Amallah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mario Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Kike Pérez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Getafe

Ramón Terrats
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
Diego Rico
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
B. Yıldırım
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Nyom
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target15%
+1.5 On Target5%
M. Arambarri
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid xG (home)0.91
Getafe xG (away)0.98

Average Possession

42.63% Possession 41.24%

Team Comparison Valladolid vs Getafe

79.47% Pass accuracy 68.39%
364.5 Passes per match 293.32
-0.4 Goals prevented 0.19
12.05 Fouls committed 15.84
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.5
1.76 Offsides 2.37
15.89 Tackles per match 16.92

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Valladolid vs Getafe prediction analysis

Review Valladolid vs Getafe with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top