Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Valladolid vs Girona

Valladolid vs Girona prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-05-13 17:00
Valladolid
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
43%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Girona
Away

Prediction Summary

1
32%
X
27%
2
41%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Valladolid (Home)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Girona (Away)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.58
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Valladolid
LLLLL
Girona
LLWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 74%
5% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 43%. Model confidence is Medium.

Valladolid averages 0.58 goals scored at home, while Girona averages 0.89 goals scored away.

Model Strength
57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
32%
Draw
27%
Away Win
41%
Over 2.5
43%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Valladolid 0 - 1 Girona Away
Dec 2024 Valladolid(A) 0 - 3 Girona Away
Apr 2023 Valladolid 1 - 0 Girona Home
Sep 2022 Valladolid(A) 1 - 2 Girona Away
Feb 2022 Valladolid 2 - 2 Girona Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Valladolid won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Valladolid — unbeaten run (home)0
Valladolid — scoring streak (home)0
Girona — winless run (away)1
Girona — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Valladolid Win (1)32%
Draw (X)27%
Girona Win (2)41%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 74%
5% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 0%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 26%
95% -1.5 84%
100% -2.5 100%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Valladolid vs Girona — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Valladolid — scored (home)0.58
Valladolid — conceded (home)1.68
Girona — scored (away)0.89
Girona — conceded (away)1.58
Model expected combined goals2.41

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Valladolid — BTTS matches (home)37%
Girona — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.577%
Under 7.523%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Valladolid (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5

Girona (away)

Corners for4.2
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Valladolid
12 15 10 14 7
Girona
7 8 10 11 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Valladolid (home)

For2.7

Girona (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Valladolid — total shots (home)9.6
Girona — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Valladolid — on target (home)2.5
Girona — on target (away)3.4

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66
Outside the box3.18

Girona

Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.55

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Chuky San José
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Amallah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mario Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Kike Pérez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Girona

Abel Ruiz
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target13%
Iván Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target6%
+1.5 On Target3%
David López
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target3%
Y. Herrera
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target14%
B. Miovski
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid xG (home)0.91
Girona xG (away)1.13

Average Possession

42.63% Possession 56.47%

Team Comparison Valladolid vs Girona

79.47% Pass accuracy 87.37%
364.5 Passes per match 517.42
-0.4 Goals prevented -0.2
12.05 Fouls committed 11.5
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 2.86
1.76 Offsides 2.14
15.89 Tackles per match 14.92

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Valladolid vs Girona prediction analysis

Review Valladolid vs Girona with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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