Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Valladolid vs Mallorca

Valladolid vs Mallorca prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2024-09-27 19:00
Valladolid
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
8%
Confidence
High
Score
0-0
Mallorca
Away

Prediction Summary

1
27%
X
47%
2
27%
Under 2.5
92%
BTTS No
85%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Valladolid (Home)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Mallorca (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Valladolid
LLLLL
Mallorca
DLLWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 53%
5% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 8%. Model confidence is High.

Valladolid averages 0.58 goals scored at home, while Mallorca averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
92%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
27%
Draw
47%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
8%
BTTS Yes
15%

Head-to-Head last 5

May 2025 Valladolid(A) 1 - 2 Mallorca Away
Sep 2024 Valladolid 1 - 2 Mallorca Away
Apr 2023 Valladolid 3 - 3 Mallorca Draw
Jan 2023 Valladolid(A) 0 - 1 Mallorca Away
Feb 2020 Valladolid(A) 1 - 0 Mallorca Home

In the last 5 meetings, Valladolid won 1, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Valladolid — unbeaten run (home)0
Valladolid — scoring streak (home)0
Mallorca — winless run (away)4
Mallorca — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Valladolid Win (1)27%
Draw (X)47%
Mallorca Win (2)27%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 53%
5% +1.5 21%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 47%
95% -1.5 79%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Valladolid vs Mallorca — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Valladolid — scored (home)0.58
Valladolid — conceded (home)1.68
Mallorca — scored (away)0.79
Mallorca — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals1

Both Teams To Score

Yes15%
No85%

Rate per Team

Valladolid — BTTS matches (home)37%
Mallorca — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Valladolid (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5

Mallorca (away)

Corners for3.0
Corners against6.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Valladolid
12 15 10 14 7
Mallorca
7 15 26 7 13

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.584%
Under 2.516%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Valladolid (home)

For2.7

Mallorca (away)

For2.4

Shots per Game

Valladolid — total shots (home)9.6
Mallorca — total shots (away)9.1

Shots on Target

Valladolid — on target (home)2.5
Mallorca — on target (away)2.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66
Outside the box3.18

Mallorca

Inside the box7.37
Outside the box2.82

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Chuky San José
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Amallah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mario Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Kike Pérez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Mallorca

V. Muriqi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target14%
Valery
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
C. Larin
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target34%
+1.5 On Target9%
Raíllo
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target6%
Dani Rodríguez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target5%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid xG (home)0.91
Mallorca xG (away)1.02

Average Possession

42.63% Possession 46.61%

Team Comparison Valladolid vs Mallorca

79.47% Pass accuracy 79.37%
364.5 Passes per match 381.89
-0.4 Goals prevented -0.01
12.05 Fouls committed 12.26
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 3.38
1.76 Offsides 2.23
15.89 Tackles per match 15.42

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Valladolid vs Mallorca prediction analysis

Review Valladolid vs Mallorca with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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