Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Valladolid vs Osasuna

Valladolid vs Osasuna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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La Liga 2025-04-20 12:00
Valladolid
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Osasuna
Away

Prediction Summary

1
31%
X
30%
2
38%
Under 2.5
66%
BTTS No
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Valladolid (Home)

Goals scored / match0.58
Goals conceded / match1.68
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate37%

Osasuna (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Valladolid
LLLLL
Osasuna
DWWDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 58%
5% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Valladolid averages 0.58 goals scored at home, while Osasuna averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
31%
Draw
30%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 5

Apr 2025 Valladolid 2 - 3 Osasuna Away
Nov 2024 Valladolid(A) 0 - 1 Osasuna Away
Feb 2023 Valladolid 0 - 0 Osasuna Draw
Oct 2022 Valladolid(A) 0 - 2 Osasuna Away
Mar 2021 Valladolid(A) 0 - 0 Osasuna Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Valladolid won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Valladolid — unbeaten run (home)0
Valladolid — scoring streak (home)0
Osasuna — winless run (away)3
Osasuna — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Valladolid Win (1)31%
Draw (X)30%
Osasuna Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 58%
5% +1.5 16%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 42%
95% -1.5 84%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Valladolid vs Osasuna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Valladolid — scored (home)0.58
Valladolid — conceded (home)1.68
Osasuna — scored (away)0.79
Osasuna — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.07

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Valladolid — BTTS matches (home)37%
Osasuna — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.589%
Under 5.511%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Valladolid (home)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.5

Osasuna (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against6.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Valladolid
12 15 10 14 7
Osasuna
10 13 8 14 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.595%
Under 0.55%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.574%
Under 2.526%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Valladolid (home)

For2.7

Osasuna (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Valladolid — total shots (home)9.6
Osasuna — total shots (away)9.7

Shots on Target

Valladolid — on target (home)2.5
Osasuna — on target (away)2.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Valladolid

Inside the box5.66
Outside the box3.18

Osasuna

Inside the box7.92
Outside the box3.08

Player Shots Valladolid

Juanmi Latasa
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Chuky San José
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target28%
+1.5 On Target11%
S. Amallah
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target8%
Mario Martín
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target10%
Kike Pérez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target21%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Osasuna

Jorge Herrando
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target6%
A. Budimir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target26%
Aimar Oroz
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target11%
Catena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target11%
+1.5 On Target3%
Raúl García
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Valladolid xG (home)0.91
Osasuna xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

42.63% Possession 45.95%

Team Comparison Valladolid vs Osasuna

79.47% Pass accuracy 77.71%
364.5 Passes per match 372.89
-0.4 Goals prevented -0.1
12.05 Fouls committed 13.34
3.05 Goalkeeper saves 3.61
1.76 Offsides 1.76
15.89 Tackles per match 16.21

League average xG this season is 1.29 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Valladolid vs Osasuna prediction analysis

Review Valladolid vs Osasuna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from La Liga.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance La Liga
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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