Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Vancouver FC vs York United

Vancouver FC vs York United prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Canadian Premier League 2026-07-04 23:00
Vancouver FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
78%
Confidence
High
Score
3-0
York United
Away

Prediction Summary

1
97%
X
3%
2
0%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS No
86%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Vancouver FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.31
Goals conceded / match1.81
Over 2.5 rate13%
BTTS rate56%

York United (Away)

Goals scored / match1
Goals conceded / match1.78
Over 2.5 rate6%
BTTS rate61%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vancouver FC
WWWLD
York United
DLLDL

Goals Comparison rate per team

69% +0.5 72%
44% +1.5 22%
13% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
56% BTTS 61%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 78%. Model confidence is High.

Vancouver FC averages 1.31 goals scored at home, while York United averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength
97%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
97%
Draw
3%
Away Win
0%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS Yes
14%

Head-to-Head last 5

Jul 2026 Vancouver FC 4 - 0 York United Home
Sep 2025 Vancouver FC 2 - 1 York United Home
Jul 2025 Vancouver FC(A) 0 - 4 York United Away
May 2025 Vancouver FC(A) 0 - 1 York United Away
Apr 2025 Vancouver FC 0 - 2 York United Away

In the last 5 meetings, Vancouver FC won 2, drew 0 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Vancouver FC — unbeaten run (home)5
Vancouver FC — scoring streak (home)6
York United — winless run (away)10
York United — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vancouver FC Win (1)97%
Draw (X)3%
York United Win (2)0%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

69% +0.5 72%
44% +1.5 22%
13% +2.5 6%
6% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

31% -0.5 28%
56% -1.5 78%
87% -2.5 94%
94% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Vancouver FC vs York United — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vancouver FC — scored (home)1.31
Vancouver FC — conceded (home)1.81
York United — scored (away)1
York United — conceded (away)1.78
Model expected combined goals4.15

Both Teams To Score

Yes14%
No86%

Rate per Team

Vancouver FC — BTTS matches (home)56%
York United — BTTS matches (away)61%
Combined (simple average)58.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.5100%
Under 5.50%
Over 6.5100%
Under 6.50%
Over 7.534%
Under 7.566%
Over 8.517%
Under 8.583%
Over 9.517%
Under 9.583%
Over 10.517%
Under 10.583%
Expected total corners (blended average)7.90

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vancouver FC (home)

Corners for6.0
Corners against1.0

York United (away)

Corners for3.7
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vancouver FC
14 5 9 8 8
York United
7 8 10 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.5100%
Under 1.50%
Over 2.5100%
Under 2.50%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)5.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Vancouver FC (home)

For1.0

York United (away)

For4.3

Shots per Game

Vancouver FC — total shots (home)12.0
York United — total shots (away)13.3

Shots on Target

Vancouver FC — on target (home)5.0
York United — on target (away)6.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vancouver FC

Inside the box7
Outside the box4

York United

Inside the box7.75
Outside the box6

Player Shots Vancouver FC

T. Campbell
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
T. Bah
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target14%
N. Mezquida
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%
V. Fry
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target0%
M. Campagna
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target0%

Player Shots York United

J. Altobelli
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target100%
+1.5 On Target75%
S. Hundal
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
A. Reid
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target25%
S. Yeates
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target33%
M. Ferrin
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target25%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vancouver FC xG (home)1.2
York United xG (away)0

Average Possession

45.17% Possession 50%

Team Comparison Vancouver FC vs York United

77.67% Pass accuracy 81%
376.5 Passes per match 427.25
0 Goals prevented 0
11.17 Fouls committed 18.5
4.33 Goalkeeper saves 4.5
1.17 Offsides 2.75
22 Tackles per match 19.25

League average xG this season is 1.61 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vancouver FC vs York United prediction analysis

Review Vancouver FC vs York United with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Canadian Premier League.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Canadian Premier League
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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