Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Major League Soccer 2026-08-01 23:30
Vancouver Whitecaps
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
70%
Confidence
High
Score
1-1
Los Angeles FC
Away

Prediction Summary

1
46%
X
22%
2
33%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
70%
Confidence
High

Market Evidence

Vancouver Whitecaps (Home)

Goals scored / match2.47
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate42%
BTTS rate63%

Los Angeles FC (Away)

Goals scored / match2.15
Goals conceded / match1.5
Over 2.5 rate30%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vancouver Whitecaps
DLLWD
Los Angeles FC
WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

95% +0.5 90%
74% +1.5 80%
42% +2.5 30%
16% +3.5 15%
11% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 70%. Model confidence is High.

Vancouver Whitecaps averages 2.47 goals scored at home, while Los Angeles FC averages 2.15 goals scored away.

Model Strength
70%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
46%
Draw
22%
Away Win
33%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Yes
70%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC Draw
Jun 2025 Vancouver Whitecaps(A) 1 - 0 Los Angeles FC Home
May 2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - 2 Los Angeles FC Draw
Nov 2024 Vancouver Whitecaps(A) 0 - 1 Los Angeles FC Away
Nov 2024 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 - 0 Los Angeles FC Home

In the last 5 meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Vancouver Whitecaps — unbeaten run (home)2
Vancouver Whitecaps — scoring streak (home)11
Los Angeles FC — winless run (away)0
Los Angeles FC — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vancouver Whitecaps Win (1)46%
Draw (X)22%
Los Angeles FC Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

95% +0.5 90%
74% +1.5 80%
42% +2.5 30%
16% +3.5 15%
11% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

5% -0.5 10%
26% -1.5 20%
58% -2.5 70%
84% -3.5 85%
89% -4.5 100%

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vancouver Whitecaps — scored (home)2.47
Vancouver Whitecaps — conceded (home)1.16
Los Angeles FC — scored (away)2.15
Los Angeles FC — conceded (away)1.5
Model expected combined goals3.64

Both Teams To Score

Yes70%
No30%

Rate per Team

Vancouver Whitecaps — BTTS matches (home)63%
Los Angeles FC — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)64%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.560%
Under 8.540%
Over 9.549%
Under 9.551%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vancouver Whitecaps (home)

Corners for6.7
Corners against4.9

Los Angeles FC (away)

Corners for4.4
Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vancouver Whitecaps
20 6 2 4 7
Los Angeles FC
4 20 9 19 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.9

Yellow Cards per Team

Vancouver Whitecaps (home)

For1.9

Los Angeles FC (away)

For2.4

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.578%
Under 19.522%
Over 22.563%
Under 22.537%
Over 25.548%
Under 25.552%
Expected total shots25.88

Vancouver Whitecaps

Shots Over 9.581%
Shots Over 11.566%
Shots Over 13.550%
Expected shots13.97
On Target Over 3.570%
On Target Over 4.553%
On Target Over 5.538%
Expected on target4.95

Los Angeles FC

Shots Over 9.568%
Shots Over 11.550%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.91
On Target Over 3.562%
On Target Over 4.545%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.42

Shots per Game

Vancouver Whitecaps — total shots (home)17.2
Los Angeles FC — total shots (away)13.5

Shots on Target

Vancouver Whitecaps — on target (home)6.2
Los Angeles FC — on target (away)5.6

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vancouver Whitecaps

Inside the box10.28
Outside the box4

Los Angeles FC

Inside the box9.08
Outside the box5.27

Player Shots Vancouver Whitecaps

T. Müller
Shots on Target/Game2.3
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target42%
R. Gauld
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target17%
B. White
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target36%
E. Sabbi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target15%
R. Veselinović
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target5%

Player Shots Los Angeles FC

D. Bouanga
Shots on Target/Game2.7
+0.5 On Target83%
+1.5 On Target71%
Son Heung-Min
Shots on Target/Game2.2
+0.5 On Target93%
+1.5 On Target64%
J. Dilrosun
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target67%
+1.5 On Target33%
J. Ebobisse
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target29%
+1.5 On Target13%
D. Martínez
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vancouver Whitecaps xG (home)1.91
Los Angeles FC xG (away)1.86

Average Possession

53.9% Possession 52%

Team Comparison Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC

86.33% Pass accuracy 86.86%
481.38 Passes per match 535.78
-0.05 Goals prevented -0.09
14 Fouls committed 12.32
2.51 Goalkeeper saves 2.24
1.24 Offsides 1.65
15.2 Tackles per match 15.61

League average xG this season is 1.48 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC prediction analysis

Review Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Major League Soccer.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Major League Soccer
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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