Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Vanspor FK vs Sakaryaspor

Vanspor FK vs Sakaryaspor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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1. Lig 2025-11-02 16:00
Vanspor FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
51%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Sakaryaspor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
40%
X
26%
2
34%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Vanspor FK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate37%

Sakaryaspor (Away)

Goals scored / match1.16
Goals conceded / match2.16
Over 2.5 rate11%
BTTS rate63%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vanspor FK
LLWLW
Sakaryaspor
LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 68%
32% +1.5 21%
32% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
37% BTTS 63%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 51%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vanspor FK averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Sakaryaspor averages 1.16 goals scored away.

Model Strength
55%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
40%
Draw
26%
Away Win
34%
Over 2.5
51%
BTTS Yes
55%

Head-to-Head last 2

Mar 2026 Vanspor FK(A) 1 - 2 Sakaryaspor Away
Nov 2025 Vanspor FK 3 - 2 Sakaryaspor Home

In the last 2 meetings, Vanspor FK won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Vanspor FK — unbeaten run (home)0
Vanspor FK — scoring streak (home)1
Sakaryaspor — winless run (away)13
Sakaryaspor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vanspor FK Win (1)40%
Draw (X)26%
Sakaryaspor Win (2)34%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 68%
32% +1.5 21%
32% +2.5 11%
5% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 32%
68% -1.5 79%
68% -2.5 89%
95% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Vanspor FK vs Sakaryaspor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vanspor FK — scored (home)1.32
Vanspor FK — conceded (home)0.95
Sakaryaspor — scored (away)1.16
Sakaryaspor — conceded (away)2.16
Model expected combined goals2.73

Both Teams To Score

Yes55%
No45%

Rate per Team

Vanspor FK — BTTS matches (home)37%
Sakaryaspor — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.535%
Under 10.565%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vanspor FK (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.3

Sakaryaspor (away)

Corners for3.9
Corners against5.6

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vanspor FK
12 8 7 11 7
Sakaryaspor
8 8 4 7 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.590%
Under 1.510%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.6

Yellow Cards per Team

Vanspor FK (home)

For1.9

Sakaryaspor (away)

For2.9

Shots per Game

Vanspor FK — total shots (home)12.9
Sakaryaspor — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Vanspor FK — on target (home)4.8
Sakaryaspor — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vanspor FK

Inside the box6.95
Outside the box4.76

Sakaryaspor

Inside the box7.03
Outside the box3.7

Player Shots Vanspor FK

Muhammed Çoksu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Iván Cédric
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Hostikka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Bilal
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Sabahattin Destici
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Sakaryaspor

Haydar Karataş
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target14%
+1.5 On Target14%
W. Ben Yedder
Shots on Target/Game1.8
+0.5 On Target31%
+1.5 On Target15%
G. Kakuta
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target21%
Ł. Zwoliński
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target13%
M. Demir
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target17%
+1.5 On Target8%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vanspor FK xG (home)1.24
Sakaryaspor xG (away)1.04

Average Possession

54.89% Possession 46.95%

Team Comparison Vanspor FK vs Sakaryaspor

79.58% Pass accuracy 77.95%
397.71 Passes per match 366.19
0 Goals prevented 0
14.92 Fouls committed 12.35
2.89 Goalkeeper saves 3.97
2 Offsides 1.95
15.05 Tackles per match 13.54

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vanspor FK vs Sakaryaspor prediction analysis

Review Vanspor FK vs Sakaryaspor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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