Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor

Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
1. Lig 2025-12-14 13:00
Vanspor FK
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Ümraniyespor
Away

Prediction Summary

1
59%
X
25%
2
15%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
62%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Vanspor FK (Home)

Goals scored / match1.32
Goals conceded / match0.95
Over 2.5 rate32%
BTTS rate37%

Ümraniyespor (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match1.42
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vanspor FK
LLWLW
Ümraniyespor
LWLDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

63% +0.5 53%
32% +1.5 21%
32% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
37% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vanspor FK averages 1.32 goals scored at home, while Ümraniyespor averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
62%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
59%
Draw
25%
Away Win
15%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
38%

Head-to-Head last 2

Apr 2026 Vanspor FK(A) 2 - 1 Ümraniyespor Home
Dec 2025 Vanspor FK 0 - 1 Ümraniyespor Away

In the last 2 meetings, Vanspor FK won 1, drew 0 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Vanspor FK — unbeaten run (home)0
Vanspor FK — scoring streak (home)1
Ümraniyespor — winless run (away)0
Ümraniyespor — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vanspor FK Win (1)59%
Draw (X)25%
Ümraniyespor Win (2)15%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

63% +0.5 53%
32% +1.5 21%
32% +2.5 5%
5% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

37% -0.5 47%
68% -1.5 79%
68% -2.5 95%
95% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vanspor FK — scored (home)1.32
Vanspor FK — conceded (home)0.95
Ümraniyespor — scored (away)0.79
Ümraniyespor — conceded (away)1.42
Model expected combined goals2.21

Both Teams To Score

Yes38%
No62%

Rate per Team

Vanspor FK — BTTS matches (home)37%
Ümraniyespor — BTTS matches (away)37%
Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.579%
Under 6.521%
Over 7.569%
Under 7.531%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.540%
Under 9.560%
Over 10.537%
Under 10.563%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vanspor FK (home)

Corners for5.6
Corners against3.3

Ümraniyespor (away)

Corners for4.1
Corners against5.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vanspor FK
12 8 7 11 7
Ümraniyespor
8 14 7 14 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Vanspor FK (home)

For1.9

Ümraniyespor (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Vanspor FK — total shots (home)12.9
Ümraniyespor — total shots (away)8.9

Shots on Target

Vanspor FK — on target (home)4.8
Ümraniyespor — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vanspor FK

Inside the box6.95
Outside the box4.76

Ümraniyespor

Inside the box6.03
Outside the box3.97

Player Shots Vanspor FK

Muhammed Çoksu
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target50%
Iván Cédric
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target70%
+1.5 On Target33%
S. Hostikka
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target21%
H. Bilal
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target18%
+1.5 On Target9%
Sabahattin Destici
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target7%
+1.5 On Target4%

Player Shots Ümraniyespor

B. Çelik
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target24%
C. Soukou
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target9%
J. Bardhi
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target25%
+1.5 On Target13%
Benny
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target63%
+1.5 On Target20%
E. Kaplan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target20%
+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vanspor FK xG (home)1.24
Ümraniyespor xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

54.89% Possession 47.08%

Team Comparison Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor

79.58% Pass accuracy 79.97%
397.71 Passes per match 386.84
0 Goals prevented 0
14.92 Fouls committed 10.42
2.89 Goalkeeper saves 3.08
2 Offsides 1.59
15.05 Tackles per match 14.54

League average xG this season is 1.42 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor prediction analysis

Review Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from 1. Lig.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance 1. Lig
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top