Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Varbergs BoIS FC vs Falkenbergs FF

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Falkenbergs FF prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Superettan 2026-08-01 13:00
Varbergs BoIS FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
BTTS Yes
Pick
Yes
Probability
59%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Falkenbergs FF
Away

Prediction Summary

1
44%
X
24%
2
32%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Varbergs BoIS FC (Home)

Goals scored / match1.56
Goals conceded / match1
Over 2.5 rate25%
BTTS rate63%

Falkenbergs FF (Away)

Goals scored / match1.65
Goals conceded / match1.65
Over 2.5 rate18%
BTTS rate65%

Team Form last 5 matches

Varbergs BoIS FC
WWLLD
Falkenbergs FF
LWWWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

81% +0.5 82%
38% +1.5 59%
25% +2.5 18%
13% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%
63% BTTS 65%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 59%. Model confidence is Medium.

Varbergs BoIS FC averages 1.56 goals scored at home, while Falkenbergs FF averages 1.65 goals scored away.

Model Strength
59%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
44%
Draw
24%
Away Win
32%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
59%

Head-to-Head last 4

Aug 2025 Varbergs BoIS FC 3 - 2 Falkenbergs FF Home
Mar 2025 Varbergs BoIS FC(A) 2 - 2 Falkenbergs FF Draw
Sep 2020 Varbergs BoIS FC(A) 0 - 2 Falkenbergs FF Away
Jun 2020 Varbergs BoIS FC 3 - 1 Falkenbergs FF Home

In the last 4 meetings, Varbergs BoIS FC won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Varbergs BoIS FC — unbeaten run (home)1
Varbergs BoIS FC — scoring streak (home)2
Falkenbergs FF — winless run (away)0
Falkenbergs FF — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Varbergs BoIS FC Win (1)44%
Draw (X)24%
Falkenbergs FF Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

81% +0.5 82%
38% +1.5 59%
25% +2.5 18%
13% +3.5 6%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

19% -0.5 18%
62% -1.5 41%
75% -2.5 82%
87% -3.5 94%
100% -4.5 100%

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Falkenbergs FF — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Varbergs BoIS FC — scored (home)1.56
Varbergs BoIS FC — conceded (home)1
Falkenbergs FF — scored (away)1.65
Falkenbergs FF — conceded (away)1.65
Model expected combined goals2.93

Both Teams To Score

Yes59%
No41%

Rate per Team

Varbergs BoIS FC — BTTS matches (home)63%
Falkenbergs FF — BTTS matches (away)65%
Combined (simple average)64%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.559%
Under 8.541%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.538%
Under 10.562%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Varbergs BoIS FC (home)

Corners for5.2
Corners against3.5

Falkenbergs FF (away)

Corners for4.3
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Varbergs BoIS FC
14 9 10 11 9
Falkenbergs FF
16 9 12 7 8

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.567%
Under 2.533%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)3.7

Yellow Cards per Team

Varbergs BoIS FC (home)

For2.0

Falkenbergs FF (away)

For1.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.555%
Under 22.545%
Over 25.538%
Under 25.562%
Expected total shots23.91

Varbergs BoIS FC

Shots Over 9.575%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.541%
Expected shots12.83
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.543%
On Target Over 5.528%
Expected on target4.34

Falkenbergs FF

Shots Over 9.562%
Shots Over 11.543%
Shots Over 13.526%
Expected shots11.08
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.523%
Expected on target4.04

Shots per Game

Varbergs BoIS FC — total shots (home)13.0
Falkenbergs FF — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Varbergs BoIS FC — on target (home)4.0
Falkenbergs FF — on target (away)5.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Varbergs BoIS FC

Inside the box7.85
Outside the box4.92

Falkenbergs FF

Inside the box8.17
Outside the box5.17
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.

Expected Goals (xG)

Varbergs BoIS FC xG (home)1.45
Falkenbergs FF xG (away)1.76

Average Possession

46.38% Possession 41.42%

Team Comparison Varbergs BoIS FC vs Falkenbergs FF

77.31% Pass accuracy 79.5%
363.77 Passes per match 388.25
0 Goals prevented 0
14.85 Fouls committed 12.83
3.15 Goalkeeper saves 2.92
1 Offsides 0.67

League average xG this season is 1.46 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Varbergs BoIS FC vs Falkenbergs FF prediction analysis

Review Varbergs BoIS FC vs Falkenbergs FF with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Superettan.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Superettan
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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