What markets are included in the Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo

Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-07-12 21:30

Vasco DA Gama

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

17%

Confidence

High

Score

0-0

Botafogo

Away

Prediction Summary

44%

37%

19%

Under 2.5

83%

BTTS No

76%

Confidence

High

Market Evidence

Vasco DA Gama (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate53%

Botafogo (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match0.74

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate21%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Botafogo

WDDWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 47%

53% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

53% BTTS 21%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 17%. Model confidence is High.

Vasco DA Gama averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Botafogo averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

83%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

44%

Draw

37%

Away Win

19%

Over 2.5

17%

BTTS Yes

24%

Head-to-Head last 5

Nov 2025 Vasco DA Gama(A) 0 - 3 Botafogo Away

Sep 2025 Vasco DA Gama(A) 1 - 1 Botafogo Draw

Aug 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo Draw

Jul 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 2 Botafogo Away

Nov 2024 Vasco DA Gama(A) 0 - 3 Botafogo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 0, drew 2 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Vasco DA Gama — unbeaten run (home)0

Vasco DA Gama — scoring streak (home)0

Botafogo — winless run (away)4

Botafogo — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vasco DA Gama Win (1)44%

Draw (X)37%

Botafogo Win (2)19%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 47%

53% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 53%

47% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 95%

Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vasco DA Gama — scored (home)1.63

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (home)1.37

Botafogo — scored (away)1

Botafogo — conceded (away)0.74

Model expected combined goals1.42

Both Teams To Score

Yes24%

No76%

Rate per Team

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (home)53%

Botafogo — BTTS matches (away)21%

Combined (simple average)37%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.50

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vasco DA Gama (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.9

Botafogo (away)

Corners for4.1

Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Botafogo

12 8 12 8 4

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Vasco DA Gama (home)

For1.8

Botafogo (away)

For2.3

Shots per Game

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (home)14.9

Botafogo — total shots (away)12.3

Shots on Target

Vasco DA Gama — on target (home)5.2

Botafogo — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Botafogo

Inside the box9.21

Outside the box5.11

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Botafogo

Igor Jesus

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target80%

+1.5 On Target40%

Chris Ramos

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target15%

Arthur Cabral

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target57%

+1.5 On Target10%

J. Savarino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target15%

Artur

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasco DA Gama xG (home)1.17

Botafogo xG (away)1.32

Average Possession

54.58% Possession 51.76%

Team Comparison Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo

86.47% Pass accuracy 85.26%

481 Passes per match 454.05

-0.15 Goals prevented 0.12

13.18 Fouls committed 14.61

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.47

0.81 Offsides 1.36

13.68 Tackles per match 15.24

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo prediction analysis

Review Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights