What markets are included in the Vasco DA Gama vs Ceara prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Vasco DA Gama vs Ceara prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Ceara

Vasco DA Gama vs Ceara prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-09-14 23:30

Vasco DA Gama

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

39%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Ceara

Away

Prediction Summary

39%

29%

32%

Under 2.5

61%

BTTS No

55%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Vasco DA Gama (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate53%

Ceara (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate0%

BTTS rate37%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Ceara

LLDLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 53%

53% +1.5 21%

26% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 37%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 39%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vasco DA Gama averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Ceara averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength

61%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

39%

Draw

29%

Away Win

32%

Over 2.5

39%

BTTS Yes

45%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Vasco DA Gama 2 - 2 Ceara Draw

Apr 2025 Vasco DA Gama(A) 1 - 2 Ceara Away

Nov 2020 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 4 Ceara Away

Aug 2020 Vasco DA Gama(A) 3 - 0 Ceara Home

Oct 2019 Vasco DA Gama(A) 1 - 1 Ceara Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 1, drew 2 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Vasco DA Gama — unbeaten run (home)0

Vasco DA Gama — scoring streak (home)0

Ceara — winless run (away)2

Ceara — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vasco DA Gama Win (1)39%

Draw (X)29%

Ceara Win (2)32%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 53%

53% +1.5 21%

26% +2.5 0%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 47%

47% -1.5 79%

74% -2.5 100%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Vasco DA Gama vs Ceara — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vasco DA Gama — scored (home)1.63

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (home)1.37

Ceara — scored (away)0.74

Ceara — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.25

Both Teams To Score

Yes45%

No55%

Rate per Team

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (home)53%

Ceara — BTTS matches (away)37%

Combined (simple average)45%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.5100%

Under 4.50%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.579%

Under 6.521%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.556%

Under 8.544%

Over 9.550%

Under 9.550%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vasco DA Gama (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.9

Ceara (away)

Corners for3.9

Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Ceara

8 18 13 7 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Vasco DA Gama (home)

For1.8

Ceara (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (home)14.9

Ceara — total shots (away)10.4

Shots on Target

Vasco DA Gama — on target (home)5.2

Ceara — on target (away)3.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Ceara

Inside the box6.87

Outside the box4.95

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Ceara

Pedro Raul

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target65%

+1.5 On Target38%

Éder

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target0%

Pedro Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target43%

+1.5 On Target7%

A. Galeano

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Vina

Shots on Target/Game0.4

+0.5 On Target31%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasco DA Gama xG (home)1.17

Ceara xG (away)0.96

Average Possession

54.58% Possession 42.03%

Team Comparison Vasco DA Gama vs Ceara

86.47% Pass accuracy 79.03%

481 Passes per match 330.84

-0.15 Goals prevented 0.17

13.18 Fouls committed 13.61

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.97

0.81 Offsides 2.42

13.68 Tackles per match 15.84

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vasco DA Gama vs Ceara prediction analysis

Review Vasco DA Gama vs Ceara with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights