What markets are included in the Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro

Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-09-27 21:30

Vasco DA Gama

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

40%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Cruzeiro

Away

Prediction Summary

30%

28%

42%

Under 2.5

60%

BTTS No

54%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Vasco DA Gama (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate53%

Cruzeiro (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05

Goals conceded / match0.89

Over 2.5 rate11%

BTTS rate32%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Cruzeiro

LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 32%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 40%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vasco DA Gama averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Cruzeiro averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength

60%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

30%

Draw

28%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Yes

46%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Vasco DA Gama 2 - 0 Cruzeiro Home

Apr 2025 Vasco DA Gama(A) 0 - 1 Cruzeiro Away

Sep 2024 Vasco DA Gama(A) 1 - 1 Cruzeiro Draw

Jun 2024 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 0 Cruzeiro Draw

Nov 2023 Vasco DA Gama(A) 2 - 2 Cruzeiro Draw

In the last 5 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 1, drew 3 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Vasco DA Gama — unbeaten run (home)0

Vasco DA Gama — scoring streak (home)0

Cruzeiro — winless run (away)3

Cruzeiro — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vasco DA Gama Win (1)30%

Draw (X)28%

Cruzeiro Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 11%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%

47% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 89%

89% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 100%

Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vasco DA Gama — scored (home)1.63

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (home)1.37

Cruzeiro — scored (away)1.05

Cruzeiro — conceded (away)0.89

Model expected combined goals2.29

Both Teams To Score

Yes46%

No54%

Rate per Team

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (home)53%

Cruzeiro — BTTS matches (away)32%

Combined (simple average)42.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.590%

Under 5.510%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.579%

Under 7.521%

Over 8.569%

Under 8.531%

Over 9.564%

Under 9.536%

Over 10.558%

Under 10.542%

Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vasco DA Gama (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.9

Cruzeiro (away)

Corners for5.0

Corners against5.5

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Cruzeiro

12 12 13 8 12

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.582%

Under 2.518%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Vasco DA Gama (home)

For1.8

Cruzeiro (away)

For2.8

Shots per Game

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (home)14.9

Cruzeiro — total shots (away)12.1

Shots on Target

Vasco DA Gama — on target (home)5.2

Cruzeiro — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Cruzeiro

Inside the box7.76

Outside the box5.82

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Cruzeiro

Kaio Jorge

Shots on Target/Game1.4

+0.5 On Target79%

+1.5 On Target33%

K. Arroyo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target58%

+1.5 On Target25%

Matheus Pereira

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target62%

+1.5 On Target21%

Gabriel Barbosa

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Christian

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target37%

+1.5 On Target7%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasco DA Gama xG (home)1.17

Cruzeiro xG (away)1.27

Average Possession

54.58% Possession 47.87%

Team Comparison Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro

86.47% Pass accuracy 81.05%

481 Passes per match 363.13

-0.15 Goals prevented 0.12

13.18 Fouls committed 13.66

3 Goalkeeper saves 3.18

0.81 Offsides 1.5

13.68 Tackles per match 16.32

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro prediction analysis

Review Vasco DA Gama vs Cruzeiro with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights