What markets are included in the Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo

Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions

Serie A 2025-04-19 21:30

Vasco DA Gama

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

54%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Flamengo

Away

Prediction Summary

33%

25%

42%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Vasco DA Gama (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate53%

Flamengo (Away)

Goals scored / match1.68

Goals conceded / match1

Over 2.5 rate21%

BTTS rate58%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Flamengo

DWDWL

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 79%

53% +1.5 58%

26% +2.5 21%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

53% BTTS 58%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 54%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vasco DA Gama averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Flamengo averages 1.68 goals scored away.

Model Strength

57%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

33%

Draw

25%

Away Win

42%

Over 2.5

54%

BTTS Yes

57%

Head-to-Head last 5

Sep 2025 Vasco DA Gama(A) 1 - 1 Flamengo Draw

Apr 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 0 Flamengo Draw

Sep 2024 Vasco DA Gama(A) 1 - 1 Flamengo Draw

Jun 2024 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 6 Flamengo Away

Oct 2023 Vasco DA Gama(A) 0 - 1 Flamengo Away

In the last 5 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 0, drew 3 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Vasco DA Gama — unbeaten run (home)0

Vasco DA Gama — scoring streak (home)0

Flamengo — winless run (away)3

Flamengo — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vasco DA Gama Win (1)33%

Draw (X)25%

Flamengo Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 79%

53% +1.5 58%

26% +2.5 21%

11% +3.5 5%

5% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 21%

47% -1.5 42%

74% -2.5 79%

89% -3.5 95%

95% -4.5 95%

Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vasco DA Gama — scored (home)1.63

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (home)1.37

Flamengo — scored (away)1.68

Flamengo — conceded (away)1

Model expected combined goals2.84

Both Teams To Score

Yes57%

No43%

Rate per Team

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (home)53%

Flamengo — BTTS matches (away)58%

Combined (simple average)55.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.582%

Under 5.518%

Over 6.574%

Under 6.526%

Over 7.569%

Under 7.531%

Over 8.548%

Under 8.552%

Over 9.548%

Under 9.552%

Over 10.542%

Under 10.558%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.60

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vasco DA Gama (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.9

Flamengo (away)

Corners for5.7

Corners against3.7

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Flamengo

8 10 6 7 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%

Under 0.52%

Over 1.595%

Under 1.55%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Vasco DA Gama (home)

For1.8

Flamengo (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (home)14.9

Flamengo — total shots (away)13.8

Shots on Target

Vasco DA Gama — on target (home)5.2

Flamengo — on target (away)4.7

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Flamengo

Inside the box9.92

Outside the box5.55

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Flamengo

Pedro

Shots on Target/Game1.2

+0.5 On Target67%

+1.5 On Target38%

G. de Arrascaeta

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target61%

+1.5 On Target12%

Bruno Henrique

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target19%

Samuel Lino

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target10%

Luiz Araújo

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target34%

+1.5 On Target11%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasco DA Gama xG (home)1.17

Flamengo xG (away)1.63

Average Possession

54.58% Possession 62.08%

Team Comparison Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo

86.47% Pass accuracy 88.34%

481 Passes per match 562.39

-0.15 Goals prevented -0.02

13.18 Fouls committed 13.42

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.5

0.81 Offsides 1.24

13.68 Tackles per match 15.21

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo prediction analysis

Review Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights