What markets are included in the Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense

Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-10-20 22:30

Vasco DA Gama

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Pick

Yes

Probability

55%

Confidence

Medium

Score

1-1

Fluminense

Away

Prediction Summary

47%

24%

29%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Confidence

Medium

Market Evidence

Vasco DA Gama (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate53%

Fluminense (Away)

Goals scored / match1

Goals conceded / match1.47

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vasco DA Gama

LLWLL

Fluminense

WWWDW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 37%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 55%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vasco DA Gama averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Fluminense averages 1 goals scored away.

Model Strength

58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

47%

Draw

24%

Away Win

29%

Over 2.5

55%

BTTS Yes

58%

Head-to-Head last 5

Dec 2025 Vasco DA Gama(A) 0 - 1 Fluminense Away

Dec 2025 Vasco DA Gama 2 - 1 Fluminense Home

Oct 2025 Vasco DA Gama 2 - 0 Fluminense Home

May 2025 Vasco DA Gama(A) 1 - 2 Fluminense Away

Aug 2024 Vasco DA Gama 2 - 0 Fluminense Home

In the last 5 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 3, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Vasco DA Gama — unbeaten run (home)0

Vasco DA Gama — scoring streak (home)0

Fluminense — winless run (away)0

Fluminense — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vasco DA Gama Win (1)47%

Draw (X)24%

Fluminense Win (2)29%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 58%

53% +1.5 37%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 42%

47% -1.5 63%

74% -2.5 95%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vasco DA Gama — scored (home)1.63

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (home)1.37

Fluminense — scored (away)1

Fluminense — conceded (away)1.47

Model expected combined goals2.89

Both Teams To Score

Yes58%

No42%

Rate per Team

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (home)53%

Fluminense — BTTS matches (away)42%

Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%

Under 4.52%

Over 5.587%

Under 5.513%

Over 6.582%

Under 6.518%

Over 7.577%

Under 7.523%

Over 8.566%

Under 8.534%

Over 9.558%

Under 9.542%

Over 10.537%

Under 10.563%

Expected total corners (blended average)9.70

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vasco DA Gama (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.9

Fluminense (away)

Corners for3.5

Corners against6.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vasco DA Gama

8 12 7 11 7

Fluminense

8 13 7 10 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.592%

Under 1.58%

Over 2.579%

Under 2.521%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Vasco DA Gama (home)

For1.8

Fluminense (away)

For2.1

Shots per Game

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (home)14.9

Fluminense — total shots (away)9.9

Shots on Target

Vasco DA Gama — on target (home)5.2

Fluminense — on target (away)3.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Fluminense

Inside the box7.53

Outside the box4.74

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target19%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target42%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Fluminense

K. Serna

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target48%

+1.5 On Target9%

G. Cano

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target45%

+1.5 On Target9%

A. Canobbio

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target33%

+1.5 On Target13%

John Kennedy

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target12%

L. Acosta

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target38%

+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasco DA Gama xG (home)1.17

Fluminense xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

54.58% Possession 52.92%

Team Comparison Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense

86.47% Pass accuracy 84.87%

481 Passes per match 468.34

-0.15 Goals prevented -0.1

13.18 Fouls committed 12.84

3 Goalkeeper saves 2.51

0.81 Offsides 0.94

13.68 Tackles per match 15

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense prediction analysis

Review Vasco DA Gama vs Fluminense with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights