Prediction Analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional
Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2025-11-28
22:30
Vasco DA Gama
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
52%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Internacional
Away
Prediction Summary
1
48%
X
25%
2
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Confidence
Low
Market Evidence
Vasco DA Gama (Home)
Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate53%
Internacional (Away)
Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.95
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Vasco DA Gama
LLWLL
Internacional
WLLDW
Goals Comparison rate per team
68%
+0.5
63%
53%
+1.5
21%
26%
+2.5
5%
11%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 52%. Model confidence is Low.
Vasco DA Gama averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Internacional averages 0.89 goals scored away.
Model Strength
55%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
48%
Draw
25%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
Head-to-Head last 5
Nov 2025
Vasco DA Gama
5 - 1
Internacional
Home
Jul 2025
Vasco DA Gama(A)
1 - 1
Internacional
Draw
Nov 2024
Vasco DA Gama
0 - 1
Internacional
Away
Jul 2024
Vasco DA Gama(A)
2 - 1
Internacional
Home
Oct 2023
Vasco DA Gama
1 - 2
Internacional
Away
In the last 5 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Vasco DA Gama — unbeaten run (home)0
Vasco DA Gama — scoring streak (home)0
Internacional — winless run (away)2
Internacional — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Vasco DA Gama Win (1)48%
Draw (X)25%
Internacional Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
68%
+0.5
63%
53%
+1.5
21%
26%
+2.5
5%
11%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
32%
-0.5
37%
47%
-1.5
79%
74%
-2.5
95%
89%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Vasco DA Gama — scored (home)1.63
Vasco DA Gama — conceded (home)1.37
Internacional — scored (away)0.89
Internacional — conceded (away)1.95
Model expected combined goals2.77
Both Teams To Score
Yes55%
No45%
Rate per Team
Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (home)53%
Internacional — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)58%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.558%
Under 8.542%
Over 9.550%
Under 9.550%
Over 10.534%
Under 10.566%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.60
Per-Team Corners own matches
Vasco DA Gama (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against4.9
Internacional (away)
Corners for4.2
Corners against5.1
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Vasco DA Gama
8
12
7
11
7
Internacional
8
5
7
13
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.592%
Under 1.58%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4
Yellow Cards per Team
Vasco DA Gama (home)
For1.8
Internacional (away)
For2.3
Shots per Game
Vasco DA Gama — total shots (home)14.9
Internacional — total shots (away)10.4
Shots on Target
Vasco DA Gama — on target (home)5.2
Internacional — on target (away)3.4
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Vasco DA Gama
Inside the box7.05
Outside the box5.55
Internacional
Inside the box8.08
Outside the box5.5
Player Shots Vasco DA Gama
Rayan
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target38%
Philippe Coutinho
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Vegetti
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
Nuno Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots Internacional
J. Carbonero
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target13%
Alan Patrick
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target13%
Ricardo Mathias
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target23%
Gustavo Prado
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target17%
Tabata
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasco DA Gama xG (home)1.17
Internacional xG (away)1.4
Average Possession
54.58%
Possession
51.08%
Team Comparison Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional
86.47%
Pass accuracy
82.63%
481
Passes per match
429.03
-0.15
Goals prevented
-0.13
13.18
Fouls committed
14.89
3
Goalkeeper saves
2.61
0.81
Offsides
1.78
13.68
Tackles per match
18.39
League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional prediction analysis
Review Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights