Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Juventude

Vasco DA Gama vs Juventude prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-11-08 21:00
Vasco DA Gama
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
56%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Juventude
Away

Prediction Summary

1
63%
X
21%
2
16%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Vasco DA Gama (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate53%

Juventude (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match2.26
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vasco DA Gama
LLWLL
Juventude
DLDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 16%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%
53% BTTS 42%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 56%. Model confidence is Medium.

Vasco DA Gama averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Juventude averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
63%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
63%
Draw
21%
Away Win
16%
Over 2.5
56%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 4

Nov 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 3 Juventude Away
Aug 2025 Vasco DA Gama(A) 0 - 2 Juventude Away
Oct 2024 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Juventude Draw
Jun 2024 Vasco DA Gama(A) 0 - 2 Juventude Away

In the last 4 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Vasco DA Gama — unbeaten run (home)0
Vasco DA Gama — scoring streak (home)0
Juventude — winless run (away)2
Juventude — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vasco DA Gama Win (1)63%
Draw (X)21%
Juventude Win (2)16%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 53%
53% +1.5 16%
26% +2.5 5%
11% +3.5 0%
5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 47%
47% -1.5 84%
74% -2.5 95%
89% -3.5 100%
95% -4.5 100%

Vasco DA Gama vs Juventude — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vasco DA Gama — scored (home)1.63
Vasco DA Gama — conceded (home)1.37
Juventude — scored (away)0.74
Juventude — conceded (away)2.26
Model expected combined goals2.91

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (home)53%
Juventude — BTTS matches (away)42%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.577%
Under 6.523%
Over 7.571%
Under 7.529%
Over 8.556%
Under 8.544%
Over 9.548%
Under 9.552%
Over 10.540%
Under 10.560%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.30

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vasco DA Gama (home)

Corners for4.9
Corners against4.9

Juventude (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against5.0

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vasco DA Gama
8 12 7 11 7
Juventude
12 11 11 8 11

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Vasco DA Gama (home)

For1.8

Juventude (away)

For3.2

Shots per Game

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (home)14.9
Juventude — total shots (away)9.3

Shots on Target

Vasco DA Gama — on target (home)5.2
Juventude — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05
Outside the box5.55

Juventude

Inside the box6.47
Outside the box4.42

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target38%
Philippe Coutinho
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Vegetti
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
Nuno Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Juventude

Edison Negueba
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target20%
Gabriel Taliari
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target35%
+1.5 On Target15%
E. Batalla
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target5%
Mandaca
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target9%
Nenê
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target32%
+1.5 On Target12%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasco DA Gama xG (home)1.17
Juventude xG (away)0.85

Average Possession

54.58% Possession 42.82%

Team Comparison Vasco DA Gama vs Juventude

86.47% Pass accuracy 80.89%
481 Passes per match 339
-0.15 Goals prevented -0.18
13.18 Fouls committed 15.89
3 Goalkeeper saves 3.42
0.81 Offsides 1.86
13.68 Tackles per match 15.82

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vasco DA Gama vs Juventude prediction analysis

Review Vasco DA Gama vs Juventude with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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