What markets are included in the Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol prediction?

GoalStatsLab may analyze 1X2 outcome probabilities, Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams To Score, corners and cards where enough match data is available.

How is the Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol prediction calculated?

The prediction is based on available football data such as recent form, goals scored and conceded, home and away performance, league trends and selected market probabilities.

Are football predictions guaranteed?

No. Football predictions are statistical estimates and should be used for analysis, not as guaranteed betting outcomes or financial advice.

Prediction Analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol

Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-07-25 23:30

Vasco DA Gama

Home

Selected Prediction

Featured Pick

BTTS Yes

Pick

Yes

Probability

53%

Confidence

Low

Score

1-1

Mirassol

Away

Prediction Summary

41%

26%

33%

Under 2.5

51%

BTTS Yes

53%

Confidence

Low

Market Evidence

Vasco DA Gama (Home)

Goals scored / match1.63

Goals conceded / match1.37

Over 2.5 rate26%

BTTS rate53%

Mirassol (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11

Goals conceded / match1.16

Over 2.5 rate5%

BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Vasco DA Gama

LLLWL

Mirassol

WDWLW

Goals Comparison rate per team

68% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

53% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is BTTS Yes with a probability of 53%. Model confidence is Low.

Vasco DA Gama averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while Mirassol averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength

53%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win

41%

Draw

26%

Away Win

33%

Over 2.5

49%

BTTS Yes

53%

Head-to-Head last 2

Dec 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 2 Mirassol Away

Aug 2025 Vasco DA Gama(A) 2 - 3 Mirassol Away

In the last 2 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 0, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Vasco DA Gama — unbeaten run (home)0

Vasco DA Gama — scoring streak (home)0

Mirassol — winless run (away)0

Mirassol — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Vasco DA Gama Win (1)41%

Draw (X)26%

Mirassol Win (2)33%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

68% +0.5 74%

53% +1.5 32%

26% +2.5 5%

11% +3.5 0%

5% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

32% -0.5 26%

47% -1.5 68%

74% -2.5 95%

89% -3.5 100%

95% -4.5 100%

Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Vasco DA Gama — scored (home)1.63

Vasco DA Gama — conceded (home)1.37

Mirassol — scored (away)1.11

Mirassol — conceded (away)1.16

Model expected combined goals2.63

Both Teams To Score

Yes53%

No47%

Rate per Team

Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (home)53%

Mirassol — BTTS matches (away)47%

Combined (simple average)50%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.563%

Under 8.537%

Over 9.553%

Under 9.547%

Over 10.543%

Under 10.557%

Expected total corners (model prediction)10.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Vasco DA Gama (home)

Corners for4.9

Corners against4.9

Mirassol (away)

Corners for4.7

Corners against6.4

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Vasco DA Gama

12 7 11 7 5

Mirassol

18 12 11 5 9

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%

Under 0.50%

Over 1.598%

Under 1.52%

Over 2.585%

Under 2.515%

Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Vasco DA Gama (home)

For1.8

Mirassol (away)

For2.5

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.581%

Under 19.519%

Over 22.568%

Under 22.532%

Over 25.554%

Under 25.546%

Expected total shots27.18

Vasco DA Gama

Shots Over 9.584%

Shots Over 11.572%

Shots Over 13.557%

Expected shots14.92

On Target Over 3.570%

On Target Over 4.553%

On Target Over 5.538%

Expected on target4.95

Mirassol

Shots Over 9.570%

Shots Over 11.553%

Shots Over 13.536%

Expected shots12.26

On Target Over 3.556%

On Target Over 4.539%

On Target Over 5.524%

Expected on target4.09

Shots per Game

Vasco DA Gama — total shots (home)14.9

Mirassol — total shots (away)13.0

Shots on Target

Vasco DA Gama — on target (home)5.2

Mirassol — on target (away)4.0

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Vasco DA Gama

Inside the box7.05

Outside the box5.55

Mirassol

Inside the box8.61

Outside the box5.16

Player Shots Vasco DA Gama

Rayan

Shots on Target/Game1.1

+0.5 On Target74%

+1.5 On Target38%

Philippe Coutinho

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target60%

+1.5 On Target17%

P. Vegetti

Shots on Target/Game0.7

+0.5 On Target46%

+1.5 On Target17%

A. Gómez

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target35%

+1.5 On Target18%

Nuno Moreira

Shots on Target/Game0.5

+0.5 On Target41%

+1.5 On Target8%

Player Shots Mirassol

Reinaldo

Shots on Target/Game0.9

+0.5 On Target54%

+1.5 On Target20%

Renato Marques

Shots on Target/Game0.8

+0.5 On Target50%

+1.5 On Target17%

Gabriel

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target40%

+1.5 On Target12%

Cristian

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target44%

+1.5 On Target16%

Negueba

Shots on Target/Game0.6

+0.5 On Target52%

+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasco DA Gama xG (home)1.17

Mirassol xG (away)1.49

Average Possession

54.58% Possession 50.89%

Team Comparison Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol

86.47% Pass accuracy 83.97%

481 Passes per match 422.24

-0.15 Goals prevented -0.08

13.18 Fouls committed 12.18

3 Goalkeeper saves 3.46

0.81 Offsides 1.84

13.72 Tackles per match 15.31

League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.

PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol prediction analysis

Review Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A

DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics

Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators

AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights