Prediction Analysis: Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino
Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Serie A
2025-06-01
00:00
Vasco DA Gama
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
38%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
RB Bragantino
Away
Prediction Summary
1
45%
X
28%
2
27%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS No
56%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Vasco DA Gama (Home)
Goals scored / match1.63
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate26%
BTTS rate53%
RB Bragantino (Away)
Goals scored / match0.95
Goals conceded / match1.74
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate63%
Team Form last 5 matches
Vasco DA Gama
LLWLL
RB Bragantino
LWLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
68%
+0.5
79%
53%
+1.5
16%
26%
+2.5
0%
11%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
53%
BTTS
63%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 38%. Model confidence is Medium.
Vasco DA Gama averages 1.63 goals scored at home, while RB Bragantino averages 0.95 goals scored away.
Model Strength
62%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
45%
Draw
28%
Away Win
27%
Over 2.5
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
Head-to-Head last 5
Oct 2025
Vasco DA Gama(A)
3 - 0
RB Bragantino
Home
Jun 2025
Vasco DA Gama
0 - 2
RB Bragantino
Away
Aug 2024
Vasco DA Gama
2 - 2
RB Bragantino
Draw
Apr 2024
Vasco DA Gama(A)
1 - 2
RB Bragantino
Away
Dec 2023
Vasco DA Gama
2 - 1
RB Bragantino
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Vasco DA Gama — unbeaten run (home)0
Vasco DA Gama — scoring streak (home)0
RB Bragantino — winless run (away)2
RB Bragantino — clean sheets (away, last 5)1 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Vasco DA Gama Win (1)45%
Draw (X)28%
RB Bragantino Win (2)27%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
68%
+0.5
79%
53%
+1.5
16%
26%
+2.5
0%
11%
+3.5
0%
5%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
32%
-0.5
21%
47%
-1.5
84%
74%
-2.5
100%
89%
-3.5
100%
95%
-4.5
100%
Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Vasco DA Gama — scored (home)1.63
Vasco DA Gama — conceded (home)1.37
RB Bragantino — scored (away)0.95
RB Bragantino — conceded (away)1.74
Model expected combined goals2.23
Both Teams To Score
Yes44%
No56%
Rate per Team
Vasco DA Gama — BTTS matches (home)53%
RB Bragantino — BTTS matches (away)63%
Combined (simple average)58%
Corners Line match total, blended estimate
Over 4.5100%
Under 4.50%
Over 5.592%
Under 5.58%
Over 6.584%
Under 6.516%
Over 7.574%
Under 7.526%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.558%
Under 9.542%
Over 10.547%
Under 10.553%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20
Per-Team Corners own matches
Vasco DA Gama (home)
Corners for4.9
Corners against4.9
RB Bragantino (away)
Corners for4.1
Corners against6.4
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
Vasco DA Gama
8
12
7
11
7
RB Bragantino
10
10
11
5
6
Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate
Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.582%
Under 2.518%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.7
Yellow Cards per Team
Vasco DA Gama (home)
For1.8
RB Bragantino (away)
For3.3
Shots per Game
Vasco DA Gama — total shots (home)14.9
RB Bragantino — total shots (away)9.6
Shots on Target
Vasco DA Gama — on target (home)5.2
RB Bragantino — on target (away)3.5
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Vasco DA Gama
Inside the box7.05
Outside the box5.55
RB Bragantino
Inside the box7.58
Outside the box4.79
Player Shots Vasco DA Gama
Rayan
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target74%
+1.5 On Target38%
Philippe Coutinho
Shots on Target/Game0.8
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target17%
P. Vegetti
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target17%
A. Gómez
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target19%
Nuno Moreira
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target8%
Player Shots RB Bragantino
Eduardo Sasha
Shots on Target/Game0.9
+0.5 On Target52%
+1.5 On Target27%
Jhon Jhon
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target9%
Lucas Barbosa
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target12%
Henry Mosquera
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target41%
+1.5 On Target6%
I. Laquintana
Shots on Target/Game0.4
+0.5 On Target43%
+1.5 On Target0%
Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasco DA Gama xG (home)1.17
RB Bragantino xG (away)1.16
Average Possession
54.58%
Possession
47.82%
Team Comparison Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino
86.47%
Pass accuracy
81.68%
481
Passes per match
390.63
-0.15
Goals prevented
0.01
13.18
Fouls committed
14.11
3
Goalkeeper saves
3.53
0.81
Offsides
1.46
13.68
Tackles per match
15.47
League average xG this season is 1.23 per team per match, for context.
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino prediction analysis
Review Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights