Prediction Analysis: Venados FC vs Tapatío
Venados FC vs Tapatío prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.
Liga de Expansión MX
2026-08-08
23:00
Venados FC
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
69%
Confidence
Medium
Score
2-1
Tapatío
Away
Prediction Summary
1
54%
X
21%
2
25%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
66%
Confidence
Medium
Market Evidence
Venados FC (Home)
Goals scored / match2.6
Goals conceded / match1.6
Over 2.5 rate53%
BTTS rate73%
Tapatío (Away)
Goals scored / match1.2
Goals conceded / match1.67
Over 2.5 rate20%
BTTS rate67%
Team Form last 5 matches
Venados FC
WDWDW
Tapatío
LDLLW
Goals Comparison rate per team
93%
+0.5
67%
73%
+1.5
33%
53%
+2.5
20%
33%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
73%
BTTS
67%
Model Insight
The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 69%. Model confidence is Medium.
Venados FC averages 2.6 goals scored at home, while Tapatío averages 1.2 goals scored away.
Model Strength
69%
Other Top Markets for This Match
Home Win
54%
Draw
21%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS Yes
66%
Head-to-Head last 5
Jan 2026
Venados FC(A)
2 - 4
Tapatío
Away
Aug 2025
Venados FC
1 - 3
Tapatío
Away
Mar 2025
Venados FC
4 - 2
Tapatío
Home
Sep 2024
Venados FC(A)
2 - 2
Tapatío
Draw
Jan 2024
Venados FC(A)
2 - 0
Tapatío
Home
In the last 5 meetings, Venados FC won 2, drew 1 and lost 2.
Current Streaks
Venados FC — unbeaten run (home)3
Venados FC — scoring streak (home)3
Tapatío — winless run (away)5
Tapatío — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5
1X2 Probability model
Venados FC Win (1)54%
Draw (X)21%
Tapatío Win (2)25%
Goals Over rate per team, own matches
93%
+0.5
67%
73%
+1.5
33%
53%
+2.5
20%
33%
+3.5
0%
7%
+4.5
0%
Goals Under rate per team, own matches
7%
-0.5
33%
27%
-1.5
67%
47%
-2.5
80%
67%
-3.5
100%
93%
-4.5
100%
Venados FC vs Tapatío — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.
Goal Averages per Team
Venados FC — scored (home)2.6
Venados FC — conceded (home)1.6
Tapatío — scored (away)1.2
Tapatío — conceded (away)1.67
Model expected combined goals3.53
Both Teams To Score
Yes66%
No34%
Rate per Team
Venados FC — BTTS matches (home)73%
Tapatío — BTTS matches (away)67%
Combined (simple average)70%
Corners data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Per-Team Corners own matches
Venados FC (home)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Tapatío (away)
Corners for—
Corners against—
Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners
No recent match dataCorners statistics were not available for recent matches.
Cards data not available yetNot enough finished matches with statistics for these teams.
Yellow Cards per Team
Venados FC (home)
For—
Tapatío (away)
For—
Shots per Game
Venados FC — total shots (home)—
Tapatío — total shots (away)—
Shots on Target
Venados FC — on target (home)—
Tapatío — on target (away)—
Shot Location Split avg per match, season
Venados FC
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Tapatío
Inside the box-
Outside the box-
Player shot data not available yetNot enough player match statistics for these squads.
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data not available yetExpected goals statistics were not returned for these teams' matches.
Average Possession
-%
Possession
-%
Team Comparison Venados FC vs Tapatío
0%
Pass accuracy
0%
Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS
Venados FC vs Tapatío prediction analysis
Review Venados FC vs Tapatío with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Liga de Expansión MX.
1X2
Over 2.5
BTTS
Recent form
Team performance
Liga de Expansión MX
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights