Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Venezia vs Bologna

Venezia vs Bologna prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-03-29 14:00
Venezia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Bologna
Away

Prediction Summary

1
35%
X
27%
2
38%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
51%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Venezia (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Bologna (Away)

Goals scored / match1.26
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Venezia
LLWDL
Bologna
LLLDD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 68%
32% +1.5 53%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Venezia averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Bologna averages 1.26 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
35%
Draw
27%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
49%

Head-to-Head last 4

Mar 2025 Venezia 0 - 1 Bologna Away
Nov 2024 Venezia(A) 0 - 3 Bologna Away
May 2022 Venezia 4 - 3 Bologna Home
Nov 2021 Venezia(A) 1 - 0 Bologna Home

In the last 4 meetings, Venezia won 2, drew 0 and lost 2.

Current Streaks

Venezia — unbeaten run (home)0
Venezia — scoring streak (home)2
Bologna — winless run (away)4
Bologna — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Venezia Win (1)35%
Draw (X)27%
Bologna Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 68%
32% +1.5 53%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 32%
68% -1.5 47%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Venezia vs Bologna — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Venezia — scored (home)0.89
Venezia — conceded (home)1.16
Bologna — scored (away)1.26
Bologna — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes49%
No51%

Rate per Team

Venezia — BTTS matches (home)42%
Bologna — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.566%
Under 6.534%
Over 7.550%
Under 7.550%
Over 8.542%
Under 8.558%
Over 9.532%
Under 9.568%
Over 10.527%
Under 10.573%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.10

Per-Team Corners own matches

Venezia (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.5

Bologna (away)

Corners for3.5
Corners against3.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Venezia
9 6 6 16 12
Bologna
11 13 7 6 14

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4

Yellow Cards per Team

Venezia (home)

For1.9

Bologna (away)

For1.7

Shots per Game

Venezia — total shots (home)11.1
Bologna — total shots (away)11.4

Shots on Target

Venezia — on target (home)3.9
Bologna — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Venezia

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.21

Bologna

Inside the box8.61
Outside the box4.87

Player Shots Venezia

J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target25%
H. Nicolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Duncan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Oristanio
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Fila
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Bologna

J. Lucumí
Shots on Target/Game2
+0.5 On Target3%
+1.5 On Target3%
R. Orsolini
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target57%
+1.5 On Target23%
T. Pobega
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target14%
J. Odgaard
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target48%
+1.5 On Target24%
B. Domínguez
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target46%
+1.5 On Target21%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia xG (home)0.99
Bologna xG (away)1.3

Average Possession

44.84% Possession 58.58%

Team Comparison Venezia vs Bologna

77.79% Pass accuracy 83.11%
359.11 Passes per match 462.82
0.04 Goals prevented -0.21
13.24 Fouls committed 14.13
3.7 Goalkeeper saves 1.66
1.57 Offsides 1.75
15.95 Tackles per match 15.53

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Venezia vs Bologna prediction analysis

Review Venezia vs Bologna with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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