Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Venezia vs Como

Venezia vs Como prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2024-12-08 17:00
Venezia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
42%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-1
Como
Away

Prediction Summary

1
43%
X
28%
2
30%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS No
53%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Venezia (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Como (Away)

Goals scored / match1.11
Goals conceded / match1.37
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Venezia
LLWDL
Como
LDWWW

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 68%
32% +1.5 26%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 42%. Model confidence is Medium.

Venezia averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Como averages 1.11 goals scored away.

Model Strength
58%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
43%
Draw
28%
Away Win
30%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Yes
47%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2025 Venezia(A) 1 - 1 Como Draw
Dec 2024 Venezia 2 - 2 Como Draw
Mar 2024 Venezia(A) 1 - 2 Como Away
Aug 2023 Venezia 3 - 0 Como Home
Apr 2023 Venezia 3 - 2 Como Home

In the last 5 meetings, Venezia won 2, drew 2 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Venezia — unbeaten run (home)0
Venezia — scoring streak (home)2
Como — winless run (away)1
Como — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Venezia Win (1)43%
Draw (X)28%
Como Win (2)30%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 68%
32% +1.5 26%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 32%
68% -1.5 74%
95% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Venezia vs Como — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Venezia — scored (home)0.89
Venezia — conceded (home)1.16
Como — scored (away)1.11
Como — conceded (away)1.37
Model expected combined goals2.35

Both Teams To Score

Yes47%
No53%

Rate per Team

Venezia — BTTS matches (home)42%
Como — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)47.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.587%
Under 4.513%
Over 5.579%
Under 5.521%
Over 6.571%
Under 6.529%
Over 7.563%
Under 7.537%
Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.545%
Under 9.555%
Over 10.532%
Under 10.568%
Expected total corners (blended average)8.80

Per-Team Corners own matches

Venezia (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.5

Como (away)

Corners for3.8
Corners against4.3

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Venezia
9 6 6 16 12
Como
9 10 6 10 5

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.579%
Under 2.521%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Venezia (home)

For1.9

Como (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Venezia — total shots (home)11.1
Como — total shots (away)12.7

Shots on Target

Venezia — on target (home)3.9
Como — on target (away)4.2

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Venezia

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.21

Como

Inside the box8.68
Outside the box5.03

Player Shots Venezia

J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target25%
H. Nicolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Duncan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Oristanio
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Fila
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Como

J. Ikoné
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target15%
N. Paz
Shots on Target/Game1.7
+0.5 On Target66%
+1.5 On Target20%
Assane Diao
Shots on Target/Game1.6
+0.5 On Target53%
+1.5 On Target27%
P. Cutrone
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target58%
+1.5 On Target18%
A. Dossena
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target13%
+1.5 On Target4%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia xG (home)0.99
Como xG (away)1.18

Average Possession

44.84% Possession 54.79%

Team Comparison Venezia vs Como

77.79% Pass accuracy 84.45%
359.11 Passes per match 464.71
0.04 Goals prevented -0.05
13.24 Fouls committed 13.24
3.7 Goalkeeper saves 2.47
1.57 Offsides 1.81
15.95 Tackles per match 17.45

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Venezia vs Como prediction analysis

Review Venezia vs Como with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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