Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Venezia vs Fiorentina

Venezia vs Fiorentina prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2026-09-13 16:30
Venezia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Fiorentina
Away

Prediction Summary

1
36%
X
27%
2
38%
+2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Venezia (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Fiorentina (Away)

Goals scored / match1.05
Goals conceded / match1.53
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate53%

Team Form last 5 matches

Fiorentina
DWDLD

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 63%
0% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 53%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Venezia averages 0 goals scored at home, while Fiorentina averages 1.05 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
36%
Draw
27%
Away Win
38%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 4

May 2025 Venezia 2 - 1 Fiorentina Home
Aug 2024 Venezia(A) 0 - 0 Fiorentina Draw
Apr 2022 Venezia(A) 0 - 1 Fiorentina Away
Oct 2021 Venezia 1 - 0 Fiorentina Home

In the last 4 meetings, Venezia won 2, drew 1 and lost 1.

Current Streaks

Fiorentina — winless run (away)0
Fiorentina — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Venezia Win (1)36%
Draw (X)27%
Fiorentina Win (2)38%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 63%
0% +1.5 32%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 37%
100% -1.5 68%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 100%

Venezia vs Fiorentina — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Venezia — scored (home)0
Venezia — conceded (home)0
Fiorentina — scored (away)1.05
Fiorentina — conceded (away)1.53
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Venezia — BTTS matches (home)0%
Fiorentina — BTTS matches (away)53%
Combined (simple average)26.5%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Venezia (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Fiorentina (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.2

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Fiorentina
11 9 7 8 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.545%
Under 1.555%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.3

Yellow Cards per Team

Venezia (home)

For—

Fiorentina (away)

For2.3

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.72

Venezia

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.558%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.97
On Target Over 3.561%
On Target Over 4.544%
On Target Over 5.529%
Expected on target4.41

Fiorentina

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.74
On Target Over 3.553%
On Target Over 4.535%
On Target Over 5.522%
Expected on target3.91

Shots per Game

Venezia — total shots (home)—
Fiorentina — total shots (away)10.1

Shots on Target

Venezia — on target (home)—
Fiorentina — on target (away)2.8

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Venezia

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Fiorentina

Inside the box8.05
Outside the box4.82

Player Shots Venezia

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Fiorentina

M. Kean
Shots on Target/Game1
+0.5 On Target65%
+1.5 On Target27%
R. Mandragora
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target3%
R. Piccoli
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target38%
+1.5 On Target9%
A. Guðmundsson
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target9%
F. Parisi
Shots on Target/Game0.3
+0.5 On Target22%
+1.5 On Target9%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia xG (home)-
Fiorentina xG (away)1.4

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.97%

Team Comparison Venezia vs Fiorentina

0% Pass accuracy 83.89%
- Passes per match 423.61
- Goals prevented 0.06
- Fouls committed 12.5
- Goalkeeper saves 3.34
- Offsides 1.94
- Tackles per match 12.26

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Venezia vs Fiorentina prediction analysis

Review Venezia vs Fiorentina with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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