Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Venezia vs Lazio

Venezia vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-02-22 14:00
Venezia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
48%
Confidence
Low
Score
1-1
Lazio
Away

Prediction Summary

1
29%
X
26%
2
45%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS Yes
52%
Confidence
Low

Market Evidence

Venezia (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Lazio (Away)

Goals scored / match1.47
Goals conceded / match1.21
Over 2.5 rate16%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Venezia
LLWDL
Lazio
LDDWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 79%
32% +1.5 42%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%
42% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 48%. Model confidence is Low.

Venezia averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 1.47 goals scored away.

Model Strength
52%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
29%
Draw
26%
Away Win
45%
Over 2.5
48%
BTTS Yes
52%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2025 Venezia 0 - 0 Lazio Draw
Aug 2024 Venezia(A) 1 - 3 Lazio Away
Mar 2022 Venezia(A) 0 - 1 Lazio Away
Dec 2021 Venezia 1 - 3 Lazio Away

In the last 4 meetings, Venezia won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Venezia — unbeaten run (home)0
Venezia — scoring streak (home)2
Lazio — winless run (away)1
Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)3 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Venezia Win (1)29%
Draw (X)26%
Lazio Win (2)45%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 79%
32% +1.5 42%
5% +2.5 16%
0% +3.5 5%
0% +4.5 5%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 21%
68% -1.5 58%
95% -2.5 84%
100% -3.5 95%
100% -4.5 95%

Venezia vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Venezia — scored (home)0.89
Venezia — conceded (home)1.16
Lazio — scored (away)1.47
Lazio — conceded (away)1.21
Model expected combined goals2.58

Both Teams To Score

Yes52%
No48%

Rate per Team

Venezia — BTTS matches (home)42%
Lazio — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.598%
Under 4.52%
Over 5.595%
Under 5.55%
Over 6.587%
Under 6.513%
Over 7.579%
Under 7.521%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.553%
Under 9.547%
Over 10.548%
Under 10.552%
Expected total corners (blended average)10.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Venezia (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.5

Lazio (away)

Corners for5.7
Corners against5.1

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Venezia
9 6 6 16 12
Lazio
6 9 6 6 18

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.598%
Under 0.52%
Over 1.595%
Under 1.55%
Over 2.587%
Under 2.513%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.8

Yellow Cards per Team

Venezia (home)

For1.9

Lazio (away)

For2.6

Shots per Game

Venezia — total shots (home)11.1
Lazio — total shots (away)12.9

Shots on Target

Venezia — on target (home)3.9
Lazio — on target (away)5.1

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Venezia

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.21

Lazio

Inside the box9.05
Outside the box5.05

Player Shots Venezia

J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target25%
H. Nicolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Duncan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Oristanio
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Fila
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game1.9
+0.5 On Target76%
+1.5 On Target41%
Pedro
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target13%
G. Isaksen
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target49%
+1.5 On Target16%
Mario Gila
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target9%
+1.5 On Target3%
A. Marušić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target23%
+1.5 On Target6%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia xG (home)0.99
Lazio xG (away)1.51

Average Possession

44.84% Possession 55.11%

Team Comparison Venezia vs Lazio

77.79% Pass accuracy 86.16%
359.11 Passes per match 468.58
0.04 Goals prevented 0.08
13.24 Fouls committed 11.16
3.7 Goalkeeper saves 1.92
1.57 Offsides 1.21
15.95 Tackles per match 13.68

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Venezia vs Lazio prediction analysis

Review Venezia vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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