Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Venezia vs Lazio

Venezia vs Lazio prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

Back to Predictions
Serie A 2026-09-20 16:30
Venezia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
34%
Confidence
Medium
Score
0-1
Lazio
Away

Prediction Summary

1
28%
X
30%
2
42%
+2.5 Goals
34%
BTTS
41%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Venezia (Home)

Goals scored / match0
Goals conceded / match0
Over 2.5 rate0%
BTTS rate0%

Lazio (Away)

Goals scored / match0.74
Goals conceded / match0.79
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate16%

Team Form last 5 matches

Lazio
WLLWD

Goals Comparison rate per team

0% +0.5 42%
0% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
0% BTTS 16%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 34%. Model confidence is Medium.

Venezia averages 0 goals scored at home, while Lazio averages 0.74 goals scored away.

Model Strength
66%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
28%
Draw
30%
Away Win
42%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS Yes
41%

Head-to-Head last 4

Feb 2025 Venezia 0 - 0 Lazio Draw
Aug 2024 Venezia(A) 1 - 3 Lazio Away
Mar 2022 Venezia(A) 0 - 1 Lazio Away
Dec 2021 Venezia 1 - 3 Lazio Away

In the last 4 meetings, Venezia won 0, drew 1 and lost 3.

Current Streaks

Lazio — winless run (away)1
Lazio — clean sheets (away, last 5)2 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Venezia Win (1)28%
Draw (X)30%
Lazio Win (2)42%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

0% +0.5 42%
0% +1.5 26%
0% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

100% -0.5 58%
100% -1.5 74%
100% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Venezia vs Lazio — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Venezia — scored (home)0
Venezia — conceded (home)0
Lazio — scored (away)0.74
Lazio — conceded (away)0.79
Model expected combined goals2.05

Both Teams To Score

Yes41%
No59%

Rate per Team

Venezia — BTTS matches (home)0%
Lazio — BTTS matches (away)16%
Combined (simple average)8%

Corners Line model prediction

Over 8.553%
Under 8.547%
Over 9.543%
Under 9.557%
Over 10.533%
Under 10.567%
Expected total corners (model prediction)9.20

Per-Team Corners own matches

Venezia (home)

Corners for—
Corners against—

Lazio (away)

Corners for2.9
Corners against4.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Lazio
9 6 6 11 6

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.550%
Under 0.550%
Over 1.550%
Under 1.550%
Over 2.545%
Under 2.555%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.5

Yellow Cards per Team

Venezia (home)

For—

Lazio (away)

For1.9

Shots Forecast model prediction

Match Total

Over 19.571%
Under 19.529%
Over 22.556%
Under 22.544%
Over 25.543%
Under 25.557%
Expected total shots24.71

Venezia

Shots Over 9.573%
Shots Over 11.557%
Shots Over 13.542%
Expected shots12.95
On Target Over 3.555%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.05

Lazio

Shots Over 9.565%
Shots Over 11.548%
Shots Over 13.533%
Expected shots11.75
On Target Over 3.556%
On Target Over 4.538%
On Target Over 5.524%
Expected on target4.07

Shots per Game

Venezia — total shots (home)—
Lazio — total shots (away)9.8

Shots on Target

Venezia — on target (home)—
Lazio — on target (away)3.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Venezia

Inside the box-
Outside the box-

Lazio

Inside the box6.68
Outside the box4.29

Player Shots Venezia

Not enough dataNot enough player match statistics for this squad.

Player Shots Lazio

V. Castellanos
Shots on Target/Game0.7
+0.5 On Target64%
+1.5 On Target9%
G. Isaksen
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%
M. Cancellieri
Shots on Target/Game0.6
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target20%
M. Zaccagni
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target42%
+1.5 On Target12%
T. Bašić
Shots on Target/Game0.5
+0.5 On Target39%
+1.5 On Target13%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia xG (home)-
Lazio xG (away)1.12

Average Possession

-% Possession 50.34%

Team Comparison Venezia vs Lazio

0% Pass accuracy 85.92%
- Passes per match 491.95
- Goals prevented 0.21
- Fouls committed 10.58
- Goalkeeper saves 3.16
- Offsides 1.06
- Tackles per match 12.66

League average xG this season is 1.26 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Venezia vs Lazio prediction analysis

Review Venezia vs Lazio with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
Scroll to Top