Prediction Analysis

Prediction Analysis: Venezia vs Monza

Venezia vs Monza prediction based on recent form, head-to-head data, team performance and key match statistics.

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Serie A 2025-04-12 13:00
Venezia
Home
Selected Prediction
Featured Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Pick
Yes
Probability
44%
Confidence
Medium
Score
1-0
Monza
Away

Prediction Summary

1
49%
X
26%
2
25%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS No
52%
Confidence
Medium

Market Evidence

Venezia (Home)

Goals scored / match0.89
Goals conceded / match1.16
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate42%

Monza (Away)

Goals scored / match0.79
Goals conceded / match2
Over 2.5 rate5%
BTTS rate47%

Team Form last 5 matches

Venezia
LLWDL
Monza
LLWLL

Goals Comparison rate per team

53% +0.5 53%
32% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%
42% BTTS 47%

Model Insight

The selected market is Over 2.5 Goals with a probability of 44%. Model confidence is Medium.

Venezia averages 0.89 goals scored at home, while Monza averages 0.79 goals scored away.

Model Strength
56%

Other Top Markets for This Match

Home Win
49%
Draw
26%
Away Win
25%
Over 2.5
44%
BTTS Yes
48%

Head-to-Head last 5

Mar 2026 Venezia(A) 1 - 1 Monza Draw
Dec 2025 Venezia 2 - 0 Monza Home
Apr 2025 Venezia 1 - 0 Monza Home
Oct 2024 Venezia(A) 2 - 2 Monza Draw
Mar 2021 Venezia(A) 4 - 1 Monza Home

In the last 5 meetings, Venezia won 3, drew 2 and lost 0.

Current Streaks

Venezia — unbeaten run (home)0
Venezia — scoring streak (home)2
Monza — winless run (away)1
Monza — clean sheets (away, last 5)0 of 5

1X2 Probability model

Venezia Win (1)49%
Draw (X)26%
Monza Win (2)25%

Goals Over rate per team, own matches

53% +0.5 53%
32% +1.5 21%
5% +2.5 5%
0% +3.5 0%
0% +4.5 0%

Goals Under rate per team, own matches

47% -0.5 47%
68% -1.5 79%
95% -2.5 95%
100% -3.5 100%
100% -4.5 100%

Venezia vs Monza — share of each team's own matches finishing above/below each goal line.

Goal Averages per Team

Venezia — scored (home)0.89
Venezia — conceded (home)1.16
Monza — scored (away)0.79
Monza — conceded (away)2
Model expected combined goals2.43

Both Teams To Score

Yes48%
No52%

Rate per Team

Venezia — BTTS matches (home)42%
Monza — BTTS matches (away)47%
Combined (simple average)44.5%

Corners Line match total, blended estimate

Over 4.595%
Under 4.55%
Over 5.590%
Under 5.510%
Over 6.582%
Under 6.518%
Over 7.566%
Under 7.534%
Over 8.561%
Under 8.539%
Over 9.547%
Under 9.553%
Over 10.529%
Under 10.571%
Expected total corners (blended average)9.40

Per-Team Corners own matches

Venezia (home)

Corners for4.0
Corners against5.5

Monza (away)

Corners for3.4
Corners against5.8

Recent Trend last 5 matches — total corners

Venezia
9 6 6 16 12
Monza
5 10 7 8 10

Yellow Cards Line match total, blended estimate

Over 0.5100%
Under 0.50%
Over 1.587%
Under 1.513%
Over 2.577%
Under 2.523%
Expected total yellow cards (blended average)4.1

Yellow Cards per Team

Venezia (home)

For1.9

Monza (away)

For2.5

Shots per Game

Venezia — total shots (home)11.1
Monza — total shots (away)7.2

Shots on Target

Venezia — on target (home)3.9
Monza — on target (away)2.5

Shot Location Split avg per match, season

Venezia

Inside the box5.97
Outside the box4.21

Monza

Inside the box5.37
Outside the box3.47

Player Shots Venezia

J. Pohjanpalo
Shots on Target/Game1.5
+0.5 On Target55%
+1.5 On Target25%
H. Nicolussi
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target40%
+1.5 On Target14%
A. Duncan
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target19%
+1.5 On Target6%
G. Oristanio
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target27%
+1.5 On Target5%
D. Fila
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target50%
+1.5 On Target10%

Player Shots Monza

S. Birindelli
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target33%
+1.5 On Target14%
Dany Mota
Shots on Target/Game1.4
+0.5 On Target26%
+1.5 On Target6%
M. Đurić
Shots on Target/Game1.3
+0.5 On Target44%
+1.5 On Target11%
D. Maldini
Shots on Target/Game1.2
+0.5 On Target60%
+1.5 On Target10%
G. Kiriakopoulos
Shots on Target/Game1.1
+0.5 On Target24%
+1.5 On Target3%

Probabilities are each player's own historical rate this season (minimum 3 matches played), not a joint match forecast.

Expected Goals (xG)

Venezia xG (home)0.99
Monza xG (away)0.81

Average Possession

44.84% Possession 48.53%

Team Comparison Venezia vs Monza

77.79% Pass accuracy 82.97%
359.11 Passes per match 421.76
0.04 Goals prevented -0.14
13.24 Fouls committed 13.47
3.7 Goalkeeper saves 3.19
1.57 Offsides 1.64
15.95 Tackles per match 14.74

League average xG this season is 1.22 per team per match, for context.

Disclaimer: these predictions are generated by a statistical model and do not constitute financial advice or a guarantee of outcome. Bet responsibly and only what you can afford to lose.
PRE-MATCH ANALYSIS

Venezia vs Monza prediction analysis

Review Venezia vs Monza with prediction probabilities, 1X2, Over 2.5, BTTS, team form, market signals and key performance data from Serie A.

1X2 Over 2.5 BTTS Recent form Team performance Serie A
DataHistorical results, fixtures and performance metrics
Markets1X2, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and trend indicators
AnalysisLeague, team, player and match-level insights
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